Duke vs Miami (FL) Prediction 11/14/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Duke vs Miami Prediction

I’m going to try Duke here, but it’s a close call. Either way, this should be a pretty fun game to watch. The Blue Devils demolished a middling NC State team on the road in their last outing, notching 26 first downs and 461 yards with 238 of those coming on the ground. The defense gave up just 217 yards on the other side with 12 first downs and 3-of-14 on third downs. Duke was a bit limp on third-down conversions themselves though, going just 3-of-11 overall. The Blue Devils are on a nice three-game win streak right now, but this will certainly be their toughest test of the year.

As for Miami, they just took their first loss of the season versus a good Notre Dame team. The Hurricanes gave up 412 yards in that one with 22 first downs and 5-of-14 on third downs. Offensively Miami had 377 yards, 21 first downs and a couple of turnovers. The 24 points were the Hurricanes’ lowest total of the season, so they’ll be chomping at the proverbial bit to get back out there and prove themselves in this matchup.

Game Info, Stats and Previews

The Duke Blue Devils and the Miami Hurricanes meet Saturday in college football action from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Duke vs Miami prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Duke vs Miami pick. We will also examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. We will tie it all together to the pick summary, resulting in a sensible prediction for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview

Duke has done a good job in the record column so far this year. The Blue Devils opened with wins over Tulane, Illinois, Stanford and William & Mary, then took consecutive losses to Georgia Tech and North Carolina. It’s been three straight wins for Duke since then; they’ve taken out Virginia, Boston College and NC State in that trio for a 7-2 overall record in the books.

Back on Saturday in their last game, the Blue Devils took on NC State in a road matchup. Duke bagged three touchdowns in the second quarter on the way to a 31-3 halftime edge. After a couple more trips to the scoreboard in the next half, Duke had a comfy 41-3 blowout win. QB Walker Eget finished with a 22-of-31 line for 208 yards and a score, while Nate Sheppard rushed 18 times for 217 yards and three touchdowns. Jaivon Solomon caught five balls for 71 yards and a TD.

Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview

Over on the Miami side, they kicked off their season with an unbeaten run through their first eight outings. The Hurricanes took out Stanford, Florida A&M, Wake Forest, Central Michigan, Clemson, Florida State, Pittsburgh and North Carolina in that time. In game nine however, Miami took their first loss to Notre Dame, giving the team an 8-1 record overall this year.

Matched up against Notre Dame last weekend the Hurricanes were trailing 17-3 at the break and 24-3 in the third quarter. Miami mounted a comeback from there but fell just short in a 31-24 defeat. QB Darian Mensah had a 24-of-43 line for 276 yards, three scores and a pick. Mark Fletcher rushed for 57 yards and Elija Lofton had 113 yards and a score on seven catches.

Duke Blue Devils @ Miami Hurricanes Betting Trends: Week 11

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

• Miami (FL) has won each of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
• Duke has lost seven of its last eight November games against AP-ranked teams.
• Duke has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• Miami (FL) has covered the spread in four of its last five home games.
• Duke has lost the first half in 16 of its last 20 games against AP-ranked teams.

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

• Duke has won each of its last three November games as an underdog.
• Miami (FL) has lost each of its last three November games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• Duke has covered the spread in six of its last seven November games as an underdog.
• Miami (FL) has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three November games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• Miami (FL) has lost the first half in six of its last eight November games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of Miami (FL)’s last 11 games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Duke’s last five games as an underdog in Florida have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Hurricanes Player Prop Facts

• Darian Mensah has recorded a 110.0+ passer rating in 33 consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS.

Duke Blue Devils Player Prop Facts

• Nate Sheppard has recorded 50+ rushing yards in 13 consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 11.

Matchup/League Facts

• Miami (FL) ranks 1st among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (64.3).
• Miami (FL) ranks 1st among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+8.9).
• Duke has won the third quarter in each of its last eight games – longest active streak in the FBS.
• Duke ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.1).

Andrew Jett's Pick: Duke Blue Devils +13.5