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Texas vs Florida Prediction 1/18/25 College Basketball Picks

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Florida (15-2) vs Texas (12-5)

January 18, 2025 at 04:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Florida -10.5 — Over/Under: 152.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Texas vs Florida prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 18th at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center in Gainesville, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview

The Texas Longhorns are 12-5 (1-3) this year after they defeated Oklahoma by a score of 77-73 in their last game. Texas led 43-27 at halftime, but they were outscored 46-34 in the second half in the win. The Longhorns shot 48.3% from the field, 31.8% on three-pointers, and 77.8% on free throws in the game. Jordan Pope led Texas with 27 points and four steals, while Tre Johnson added 16 points and four rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that victory, the Longhorns lost to Tennessee by a score of 74-70 and Auburn by a score of 87-82. Texas has lost three of their last four games, but they did win 11 of the previous 12 games. Texas has scored 81.6 points per game and they have allowed 65.9 points per game, while also averaging 35.5 rebounds and 13.9 assists per game this season. Tre Johnson is averaging 18.7 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 2.1 assists per game, while Arthur Kaluma is averaging 14.1 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 2.1 assists per game. Texas is shooting 49.7% from the field, 74.1% on free throws, and 38.8% on three-pointers this year. 

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators are 15-2 (2-2) this season after they lost to Missouri by a score of 83-82 in their last game. Florida trailed 50-34 at the half, but they did score 48 points in the second half in the win. The Gators shot 48.1% from the field, 36% on three-pointers, and 67.7% on free throws in the game. Walter Clayton Jr. led Florida with 28 points and five rebounds, while Alijah Martin added 14 points and four rebounds in the loss.

Prior to that game, the Gators defeated Arkansas by a score of 71-63 and Tennessee by a score of 73-43. Florida has split their last four games, but they did win their first 13 games of the season. Florida has scored 86 points per game and they have allowed 65.9 points per game, while also averaging 45.5 rebounds and 15.4 assists per game this season. Walter Clayton Jr. is averaging 17.8 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game, while Alijah Martin is averaging 15.8 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 2.6 assists per game this season. Florida is shooting 46.8% from the field, 71.6% on free throws, and 34.1% on three-pointers this year. 

Why Texas will beat Florida

  • The road team has won each of Texas’ last three games.
  • Florida has lost the first half in three of its last four day games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Texas’ last five day games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
  • Each of Florida’s last four day games at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center has produced a total of 146 or fewer points.

Texas vs Florida Prediction 

Florida comes into this matchup after losing a very close game to Missouri in their last game, which was also at home. The Gators started the season playing at an unbelievable level, but they have lost two of their last four games. Florida is scoring 86 points per game this year, but they have allowed 83 and 106 points in their two losses. Texas finally got their first SEC win of the season against Oklahoma, but they nearly blew it with a terrible second half. The Longhorns are shooting nearly 50% from the field and they also played Tennessee and Auburn very close before that Oklahoma game. This isn’t going to be easy for Texas, but I do think they have the ability to keep this game close with a chance to win at the end, so I will take the points with Texas. 

David Racey's Pick: Texas +10.5

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