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Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction 1/18/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Missouri (14-3) vs Arkansas (11-6)

January 18, 2025 at 06:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Missouri -5.5 — Over/Under: 149.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Arkansas Razorbacks and Missouri Tigers meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Mizzou Arena. Here’s an Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction. This article will include an Arkansas vs Missouri Pick.

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks lost to Florida and LSU, and they play Georgia, Oklahoma, and Kentucky next. The Arkansas Razorbacks are averaging 78.2 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 67.6 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Adou Thiero is averaging 16.7 points and 6 rebounds, while Boogie Fland is averaging 15.7 points and 5.7 assists. DJ Wagner is the third double-digit scorer and Johnell Davis is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Arkansas Razorbacks are shooting 4.3 percent from beyond the arc and 71.4 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas Razorbacks are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game.

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Missouri Tigers beat Florida and Vanderbilt, and they play Texas, Ole Miss, and Mississippi State next. The Missouri Tigers are averaging 84.9 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 69.3 points on 42 percent shooting. Mark Mitchell is averaging 13.6 points and 4.9 rebounds, while Tamar Bates is averaging 12.8 points and 1.4 assists. Caleb Grill is the third double-digit scorer and Anthony Robinson II is dishing 3.8 assists. The Missouri Tigers are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 71.9 percent from the free throw line. The Missouri Tigers are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

  • Missouri has won each of its last 12 games at Mizzou Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Arkansas has lost each of its last five day games against the Southeastern Conference.
  • Arkansas has lost the first half in four of its last five day games against Conference opponents.

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win

  • Missouri has lost 21 of its last 24 games against Conference opponents.
  • Arkansas has won 12 of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Missouri has lost the first half in four of its last five day games against Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Missouri ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (123.1).
  • Missouri ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (100.4).

Arkansas vs Missouri Injury Report

The Arkansas Razorbacks don’t have a player listed on their injury report. The Missouri Tigers will continue to be without Trent Burns.

Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction

The Missouri Tigers are coming off a monster upset over Florida as a double-digit dog, and usually, that would create a letdown spot. However, the Arkansas Razorbacks aren’t good, so it probably doesn’t matter. Arkansas has failed to cover eight of its last 10 games and is 4-12-1 ATS on the season. Arkansas has little to no value in the betting market right now. Also, Missouri is undefeated at home this season. Maybe that win over Florida unlocks a winning stretch and possibly puts Missouri in a different tier in the SEC. We’ll see, but backing Arkansas in any shape or form currently isn’t an option. I’ll lay the chalk with Missouri at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Missouri -5.5

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