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Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State Prediction 2/27/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

New Mexico State (15-12) vs Middle Tennessee (18-9)

February 27, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: New Mexico State -1.5 — Over/Under: 137.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and New Mexico State Aggies meet Thursday in college basketball action at the Pan American Center. Here’s a Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State Prediction. This article will include a Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State Pick.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview 

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders beat Sam Houston, lost to LA Tech, and they play UTEP, Liberty, and FIU next. Middle Tennessee has a chance to reach at least 19 wins for the third time in the last four seasons. 

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are averaging 76.1 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 71.4 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Jestin Porter is averaging 15.8 points and 2.7 rebounds, while Essam Mostafa is averaging 13.7 points and 8.7 rebounds. Camryn Weston is the third double-digit scorer and Jlynn Counter is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc and 67.5 percent from the free throw line. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game.

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview 

The New Mexico State Aggies beat Jacksonville State and Kennesaw State, and they play Western Kentucky, LA Tech, and Sam Houston next. New Mexico State has responded from three straight losses with three straight wins. 

The New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 69.9 points on 42 percent shooting and allowing 66 points on 39.6 percent shooting. Christian Cook is averaging 13.2 points and 2.2 rebounds, while Peter Filipovity is averaging 12.4 points and 8.3 rebounds. Zawdie Jackson is the third double-digit scorer and Robert Carpenter is grabbing 6 rebounds. The New Mexico State Aggies are shooting 32.6 percent from beyond the arc and 68.2 percent from the free throw line. The New Mexico State Aggies are allowing 28.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game.

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

  • Middle Tennessee has lost four of its last five night games against the Conference USA.
  • New Mexico State has won each of its last three games against the Conference USA.
  • New Mexico State has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

  • New Mexico State has lost four of its last five games at Pan American Center.
  • Middle Tennessee has won three of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of New Mexico State’s last nine night games has produced a total of 129 or fewer points.
  • Each of Middle Tennessee’s last six games has produced a total of 139+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • New Mexico State ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (68.1%).
  • New Mexico State ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.3).

Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State Injury Report

Neither Middle Tennessee nor New Mexico State has a player listed on its injury report.

Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State Prediction

Middle Tennessee and the free bucket is worth a look as you can argue the Blue Raiders have been the better team this season. However, New Mexico State beat Middle Tennessee last month on the road as 6.5-point underdogs and is coming off monster road wins over Kennesaw State and Jacksonville State. This is the best New Mexico State has looked possibly all year and that confidence has to be rather high at the moment. We’re laying less than a full bucket. Give me New Mexico State.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New Mexico State -1.5

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