Mercyhurst vs Sacramento State Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/30/24

The Mercyhurst Lakers are visiting the Sacramento State Hornets on Saturday, November 30th at The Nest. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mercyhurst Lakers vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction.

Sacramento State Hornets Preview

The Sacramento State Hornets have a 2-4 record this season and are coming off a 63-61 win in Air Force. The Hornets are 3-1-1 against the spread, and 2-3 in over/under while having a 1-1 home record. 

Offensively, Sacramento State is averaging 71 points per game, which ranks 275th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65.7 points per game (69th). The Hornets shoot 45.3% from the field (176th) and  36.7% from beyond the arc (87th). The Hornets shoot 63% from the free-throw line (338th) and are grabbing 37.7 rebounds per game (142nd).

Jaccob Holt leads Sacramento State in scoring this season, with an average of 14.7 points and a team-high 5.8 rebounds, while Julian Vaughns adds 13.2 points and 3 rebounds per game.

Mercyhurst Lakers Preview

The Mercyhurst Lakers have a 4-4 record this season and are coming off a 55-81 loss in California. The Lakers are 3-2-1 against the spread, and 2-4 in over/under, while having a 1-4 road record. 

Offensively, San Diego State is averaging 68.9 points per game, which ranks 309th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.5 points per game (131st). The Lakers shoot 42.4% from the field (273rd) and 28.7% from beyond the arc (322nd). The Lakers shoot 76% from the free-throw line (52nd) and are grabbing 28.8 rebounds per game (359th).

Jeff Planutis leads San Diego State in scoring with an average of 13.5 points, while Aidan Reichert adds 11.1 points and 4.5 rebounds. Mercyhurst will face San Francisco and Lafayette following this game.

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

• The home team has won each of Mercyhurst’s last six games.
• Mercyhurst has lost each of its last three road games.
• The home team has won the first half in each of Mercyhurst’s last six games.

Why the Mercyhurst Lakers will win

• Sacramento State has lost five of its last six games against non-conference opponents.
• Sacramento State has lost the first half in five of its last six day games against non-conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• Sacramento State ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (25.6%).
• Sacramento State ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (20.3).
• Mercyhurst ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (28.8).
• Mercyhurst ranks T7th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (50.1).

Mercyhurst Lakers vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction

In this Mercyhurst Lakers vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction, Sacramento State Dame is coming as -9 home favorites. Sacramento State is better both offensively, scoring 2.2 points more than Mercyhurst, and defensively, allowing 2.8 points less. The Hornets are better all across the board, as they have better-shooting percentages, and they rank in the top 90 of the nation in 3-point percentage. The Lakers have been extremely weak in 3-point shooting, ranking in the bottom 40 of the nation, while being the 6th-worst team nationally in rebounding. The value here lies with the home team, so take the Sacramento State Hornets and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Sacramento State Hornets -9