Florida vs Florida State Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/15/24

The Florida Gators are visiting the Florida State Seminoles on Friday, November 15th at the Donald L. Tucker Civic Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles Prediction.

Florida State Seminoles Preview

The Florida State Seminoles have a perfect 3-0 record this season and are tied with six more teams on the first place of the Atlantic Coast. The Seminoles are 2-1 against the spread, and 0-3 in over/under this season while having a 2-0 home record.

Offensively, Florida State is averaging just 70 points per game, ranking just 264th in the nation, while they boast an elite defense, allowing 59.7 points per game (37th). The Seminoles are struggling with their shooting this season, with just 44% from the field (243rd), and 21% from beyond the arc, which is the 9th-worse in the nation.

Florida State is coming off a 72-52 victory against Tarleton State, covering the spread and the game went under the 146.5-point total. The Seminoles struggled from beyond the arc, shooting with just 19%, but played terrific defense, holding Tarleton State to just 31% from the field. Florida State had no player with double-digit scoring, and Daquan Davis led them with 9 points and 3 assists.

Jamir Watkins leads Florida State in scoring this season, with 18.3 points and 4.7 rebounds, while Taylor Bol Bowen adds 9 points and a team-high 6 rebounds. Florida State will meet Hofstra and Temple after this game.

Florida Gators Preview

The Florida Gators are undefeated this season with a 3-0 record and are tied with five more teams in the first place of the Southeastern. The Gators are 1-2 against the spread, and 1-2 in over/under this season while having a 3-7 home record last season.

Offensively, Florida has been elite this season with 88.3 points per game, ranking 64th in the nation, while defensively they allow 68.3 points per game (155th). The Gators shoot with 50% from the field (72nd), but struggle with their outside shot, with just 26% from beyond the arc (325th).  

Florida is coming off an 86-62 home win against Grambling State, not covering the spread and the game went under the 151.5-point total. The Gators dominated their opponents on the glass, out-rebounding them by 45-21. Florida’s offense was led by Rueben Chinyelu with 14 points on 7-8 shooting.

Walter Clayton leads Florida’s offense with an average of 16.7 points, 3 rebounds, and a team-high 4.3 assists. Will Richard has 16 points and 5 rebounds. Florida will play against Florida A&M, Southern Illinois, Wake Forest, and Virginia following this one.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• Florida State has won eight of its last nine night games at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center.
• Florida has lost each of its last four games at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center when playing with a rest advantage.
• Florida State has won the first half in 17 of its last 18 games against the Southeastern Conference.

Why the Florida Gators will win

• Florida has won each of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Florida State has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center.
• Florida State has lost the first half in each of its last five night games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Twelve of Florida State’s last 13 games against the Southeastern Conference Conference have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
• Eight of Florida’s last 10 night games have produced a total of 157+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida State ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for a three-point percentage this season (21.0%).
• Florida State ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (17.3).
• Florida ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (83.8%).
• Florida ranks T19th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (6.7).

Florida Gators vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction

Florida State leads Florida 5-3 wins in their last 8 meetings, going for 5-3 against the spread. In their previous meeting last season, the Gators won at home, 89-68. In this Florida Gators vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, Florida Gators are coming as -5.5 road favorites. Both teams have been amazing so far, and it’s hard to go against any of them at this point. Taking a look at the over/under, it is 5-1 combined for those teams this season, as both are playing elite defense and allow 128 points per game combined. Over is also 5-2 in their last 7 meetings. I expect points to be at a premium tonight, so I’m taking the Under total.