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UC San Diego vs Cal Poly Prediction 2/20/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Cal Poly (10-16) vs UC San Diego (22-4)

February 20, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Cal Poly +13.5 — Over/Under: 160.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The UC-San Diego Tritons are visiting the Cal Poly Mustangs on Thursday, February 20th at the Robert A. Mott Athletics Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a UC-San Diego Tritons vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction. We will examine:

The Cal Poly Mustangs’ recent form and player performance

The UC-San Diego Tritons’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cal Poly Mustangs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UC-San Diego Tritons

Recent betting trends in games played between the UC-San Diego Tritons and Cal Poly Mustangs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UC-San Diego Tritons vs Cal Poly Mustangs game

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs have a 10-16 record this season and are sitting in 9th place in the Big West. They are coming off an 85-89 loss to Cal State Northridge. The Mustangs are 12-13 against the spread, and 16-9 in over/under, while having a 6-4 home record.

Offensively, Cal Poly is averaging 79.8 points per game, which is 51st in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 83.3 points per game (359th). The Mustangs shoot 45.4% from the field (153rd) and 34.3% from beyond the arc (162nd). The Mustangs shoot 75.7% from the free throw line (56th) and are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game (200th).

Owen Koonce leads Cal Poly in scoring this season, with an average of 17.5 points and a team-high 5.3 rebounds, while Jarred Hyder adds 13.6 points, 3.1 rebounds, and a team-high 3.4 assists per game.

UC-San Diego Tritons Preview

The UC-San Diego Tritons have a 22-4 record this season and are sitting in second place in the Big West. UC-San Diego is coming off an 85-60 win over UC Davis. The Tritons are 19-5 against the spread, and 12-11-1 in over/under, while having a 9-2 road record.

Offensively, UC-San Diego is averaging 80.3 points per game, which ranks 43rd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 62.5 points per game, which is the 10th-best nationally. The Tritons shoot 46.7% from the field (83rd), and 36.6% from beyond the arc (59th). The Tritons shoot 75.1% from the free-throw line (72nd) and are grabbing 33.8 rebounds per game (273rd).

Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones leads UC-San Diego in scoring this season, with 19.8 points, 5.1 rebounds, and a team-high 3.4 assists per game, while Tyler McGhie adds 16.8 points and 4 rebounds per game.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

  • Cal Poly has won each of its last four night games at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center following a road loss.
  • The home team has won the first half in six of UC San Diego’s last eight games.

Why the UC San Diego Tritons will win

  • Cal Poly has lost 17 of its last 18 night games against the Big West Conference at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center.
  • UC San Diego has won 14 of its last 15 night games.
  • Cal Poly has lost the first half in each of its last 10 Thursday home games against the Big West Conference.

UC-San Diego Tritons vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction

UC-San Diego Tritons has won their last four meetings against Cal Poly, and are 3-1 against the spread. Over is 5-0 in their 5 meetings, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, UC-San Diego Tritons won 95-68 at home, covering the spread, and the game went over the point total.

In this UC-San Diego Tritons vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction, UC-San Diego is coming as -13.5 road favorites. UC-San Diego is rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, and are one of the best road teams in the nation. The Tritons have been red-hot lately, coming off seven consecutive wins, and are 7-0 against the spread, while Cal Poly is just 2-2 in their last 4 home games. The Tritons have been owning the Mustangs in recent years, including a dominating 27-point win earlier this season. Take the UC-San Diego Tritons and the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: UC-San Diego Tritons -13.5

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