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San Francisco vs St. Mary’s Prediction 1/23/25 College Basketball Picks

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St. Mary's (16-3) vs San Francisco (16-5)

January 23, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: St. Mary's -8.5 — Over/Under: 136.5

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In this article, we will formulate a San Francisco vs St. Mary’s prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, January 23rd at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

San Francisco Dons Betting Preview

The San Francisco Dons are 16-5 (6-2) this year after they defeated Oregon State by a score of 81-70 in their last game. San Francisco led 43-34 at halftime and added 38 points in the second half in the win. The Dons shot 60% from the field, 59.1% on three-pointers, and 73.7% on free throws in the game. Malik Thomas led San Francisco with 24 points and three assists, while Marcus Williams added 21 points and five assists in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Dons defeated Pepperdine by a score of 80-63 but did lose to Santa Clara by a score of 77-54 before that. San Francisco has won seven of their last nine games and they are currently second in the WCC standings. San Francisco has scored 77.0 points per game and they have allowed 67.5 points per game, while also averaging 35.4 rebounds and 14.7 assists per game this season. Malik Thomas is averaging 20.4 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 2.4 assists per game, while Marcus Williams is averaging 14.3 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game this year. San Francisco is shooting 47.2% from the field, 68.7% on free throws, and 35.7% on three-pointers this season. 

St. Mary’s Gaels Betting Preview

The St. Mary’s Gaels are 16-3 (6-0) this season after they defeated Pepperdine by a score of 74-50 in their last game. St. Mary’s led 35-22 at halftime and held Pepperdine to just 28 points in the second half in the win. The Gaels shot 46.9% from the field, 36.8% on three-pointers, and 87.5% on free throws in the game. Luke Barrett led St. Mary’s with 14 points and seven rebounds, while Mitchell Saxen added 13 points and six rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that victory, the Gaels defeated San Diego by a score of 103-56 and Loyola Marymount by a score of 81-56. St. Mary’s has won six games in a row and they are the only WCC team that is undefeated in conference play. St. Mary’s has scored 76.8 points per game and they have allowed 61.1 points per game, while also averaging 41.7 rebounds and 16.9 assists per game this season. Augustas Marciulionis is averaging 14.2 points, 2.5 rebounds, and 5.6 assists per game, while Paulius Murauskas is averaging 12.2 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game this year. St. Mary’s is shooting 45.1% from the field, 70.1% on free throws, and 34.1% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Saint Mary’s will beat San Francisco 

  • Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 10 games against San Francisco.
  • San Francisco has lost the first half in five of its last six games at University Credit Union Pavilion.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of San Francisco’s last 13 Thursday games against the West Coast Conference has produced a total of 143+ points.
  • Eight of the last nine games between San Francisco and Saint Mary’s at University Credit Union Pavilion have produced a total of 136 or fewer points.

San Francisco vs St. Mary’s Prediction 

St. Mary’s rolls into this matchup undefeated in conference play and they have been dominating their WCC opponents. The Gaels have won by margins of 24, 47, 25, 23, and 30 points in their last five games. St. Mary’s has allowed 61.1 points per game and they have allowed 58 points or fewer in each of their last five games. San Francisco is 6-2 in conference play and they have scored at least 80 points in four of their last five games. The Dons have been pretty strong in WCC play, but both of their losses were on the road. This St. Mary’s team is rolling right now and I can’t go against them. Take the Gaels here. 

David Racey's Pick: St. Mary's -8.5

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