Pick details
| MATCHUP | Washington Nationals | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 13-17 | 10-19 |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Wednesday, April 29, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 13-17 on the year and play the Brewers and Twins next. The Washington Nationals are batting .239 on the season and have a .321 OBP, and a .387 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals pitching staff has a 5.21 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. Daylen Lile leads the Washington Nationals with 32 hits and 14 RBI while James Wood and CJ Abrams have combined for 54 hits and 42 RBI.
Cade Cavalli gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 0-1 with a 4.01 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. This will be Cavalli’s second career game against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 10-19 on the year and play the Angels and Rockies next. The New York Mets are batting. 225 on the season, have a .289 OBP, and have a .338 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 28 hits and 14 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Marcus Semien have combined for 43 hits and 14 RBI.
David Peterson gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 0-3 with a 5.06 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. Peterson is 7-1 with a 2.48 ERA and 52 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last seven night games against the Mets at Citi Field following a loss.
- The Mets have won nine of their last 10 night games against the Nationals at Citi Field following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against the Nationals at Citi Field following a home win.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Citi Field against opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Mets have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have won five of their last six games as road underdogs following a road loss.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday games.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Citi Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Nationals’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of David Peterson’s last nine appearances as a starter.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Bo Bichette has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in seven of the Nationals’ last 22 games against NL opponents.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 11 games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (100).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for hits this season (218).
- The Nationals rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (278).
- The Nationals rank T29th in the league for runs allowed this season (179).
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets still have yet to prove they can string wins together so winning last night doesn’t move the needle. I’m looking at the over instead. Cavalli has a 4.01 ERA and 1.66 WHIP through 24.2 innings. Peterson has a 5.06 ERA and 1.65 WHIP through 26.2 innings. These pitchers have walked a combined 23 guys. I expect some runs in this matchup given the form of both arms. Give me the over.
