San Jose State vs Stanford Prediction 9/27/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The San Jose State Spartans and Stanford Cardinal meet Saturday in college football action at Stanford Stadium. Here’s a San Jose State vs Stanford Prediction. This article will include a San Jose State vs Stanford Pick.

San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview

The San Jose State Spartans lost to Texas, beat Idaho, and play New Mexico next. San Jose State has lost 5 of its last 7 games. Walker Eget is completing 54.7 percent of his passes for 714 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Danny Scudero and Kyri Shoels have combined for 501 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jackson Canaan has 8 receptions.

The San Jose State Spartans ground game is averaging 119.3 yards per contest, and Jabari Bates leads the way with 175 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, San Jose State is allowing 27.3 points and 402.3 yards per game. Jordan Pollard leads the San Jose State Spartans with 27 tackles, Vili Taufatofua has 2 sacks and Jalen Apalit-Williams has 1 interception.

Stanford Cardinal Betting Preview

The Stanford Cardinal lost to Virginia, beat Boston College, and they play SMU next. Stanford has lost 11 of its last 13 games. Ben Gulbranson is completing 57.5 percent of his passes for 723 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Bryce Farrell and CJ Williams have combined for 440 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Sam Roush has 7 receptions.

The Stanford Cardinal ground game is averaging 111 yards per contest, and Micah Ford leads the way with 335 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Stanford is allowing 29.5 points and 404.3 yards per game. Matt Rose leads the Stanford Cardinal with 39 tackles, Clay Patterson has 3 sacks and Collin Wright has 1 interception.

San Jose State Spartans @ Stanford Cardinal Betting Trends: Week 5

Why the Stanford Cardinal will win

• San Jose State has lost seven of its last eight road games against non-conference opponents.
• The home team has won nine of Stanford’s last 11 games.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of Stanford’s last five games.
• San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as an underdog in California.

Why the San Jose State Spartans will win

• Stanford has lost eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• San Jose State has won three of its last four September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Stanford has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight games as a favorite in California.
• San Jose State has covered the spread in each of its last five road games in September.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Stanford’s last six September games as a home favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of San Jose State’s last eight road games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.

Stanford Cardinal Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, C.J. Williams leads Stanford for receptions (17) this season.

San Jose State Spartans Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 5, Vili Taufatofua leads the Mountain West Conference for forced fumbles (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Stanford ranks 128th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (291.8).
• Stanford ranks T122nd among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (19.0).
• San Jose State ranks T133rd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (0.0).
• San Jose State ranks T132nd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (62.5).

San Jose State vs Stanford Prediction

Player for player, Stanford is the more talented team and should be favored. However, Stanford has done nothing dating back to last season that makes you want to back in the favorite role. Stanford is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games in the favorite role. San Jose State has issues of its own, especially on offense, but it played Texas, and took Central Michigan down to the wire. San Jose State will be battle tested entering this spot. I just don’t think highly of Stanford and have no interest in laying points. It’s San Jose State or pass for me on Saturday night.