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Missouri vs South Carolina Prediction College Football Picks 11/16/24
Pick details
South Carolina (5-3) vs Missouri (6-2)
November 16, 2024 at 04:15 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: South Carolina -12.5 / Missouri +12.5 — Over/Under: 43.5
The Missouri Tigers and South Carolina Gamecocks meet Saturday in week 12 college football action at Williams-Brice Stadium. Here’s a Missouri vs South Carolina Prediction. This article will include a Missouri vs South Carolina Pick.
Missouri Tigers Betting Preview
The Missouri Tigers beat Oklahoma, lost to Alabama, and they play Mississippi State next. The Missouri Tigers have lost 2 of their last 3 road games. Brady Cook is completing 62.8 percent of his passes for 1,575 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Theo Wease Jr. and Luther Burden III have combined for 1,057 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Mookie Cooper has 12 receptions.
The Missouri Tigers ground game is averaging 167.6 yards per contest, and Nate Noel leads the way with 534 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Missouri is allowing 18.4 points and 294.9 yards per game. Corey Flagg Jr. leads the Missouri Tigers with 57 tackles, Johnny Walker Jr. has 4.5 sacks and Dreyden Norwood has 1 interception.
South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Preview
The South Carolina Gamecocks beat Texas A&M and Vanderbilt and will play Wofford next. The South Carolina Gamecocks have won 3 of their last 5 home games. LaNorris Sellers is completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 1,450 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Mazeo Bennett Jr. and Joshua Simon have combined for 646 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Raheim Sanders has 16 receptions.
The South Carolina Gamecocks ground game is averaging 180.7 yards per contest, and Sanders leads the way with 696 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, South Carolina is allowing 17.6 points and 299.9 yards per game. Nick Emmanwori leads the South Carolina Gamecocks with 60 tackles, Kyle Kennard has 9.5 sacks and Jalon Kilgore has 3 interceptions.
Why the South Carolina Gamecocks will win
- The home team has won eight of Missouri’s last nine games.
- Missouri has lost each of its last five November road games against AP-ranked teams.
- South Carolina has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
- The team ranked 24th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in 16 of its last 20 games.
Total Points Facts
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- Seven of Missouri’s last eight November games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of South Carolina’s last five November games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- South Carolina ranks 8th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (6.8).
- South Carolina ranks T9th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+4.9).
- Missouri ranks 10th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.9).
- Missouri ranks 10th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (294.9).
Missouri vs South Carolina Prediction
The outlook on both of these teams has changed a lot over the last month. Missouri went from being a playoff contender to now being a double-digit underdog on the road. The South Carolina Gamecocks were the team that couldn’t win big games to now being a double-digit favorite because they beat Texas A&M and Vanderbilt in back-to-back weeks. Slight overreaction? This will be just the fourth time since 2020 that South Carolina is a double-digit favorite in SEC play. I’m not buying it, folks. Give me Missouri and the points.
