New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Prediction College Football Picks 11/16/24

Texas A&M (7-2) vs New Mexico State (2-7)

Game Info: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 7:45 pm (Kyle Field)

Betting Odds: Texas A&M -39 / New Mexico State +39 --- Over/Under: 54.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico State vs Texas A&M prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 16th at Kyle Field in College Station, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup. 

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies are 2-7 (1-5) this year after they lost to Western Kentucky by a score of 41-28 in their last game. New Mexico State trailed 24-7 at halftime, but they did cut the deficit to 24-21 before WKU pulled away. The Aggies outgained WKU by a total of 460-413, lost the turnover battle 5-2, and went 9-16 on third down in the game. Santino Marucci threw for 129 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Mike Washington rushed for 152 yards and two scores. 

Prior to that loss, the Aggies lost to FIU by a score of 34-13 but did beat Louisiana Tech by a score of 33-30 before that. The NMSU offense has scored 20.6 points per game with 116.6 passing yards and 187.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 37.1 points per game this season. Santino Marucci threw for 439 yards, three touchdowns, and five interceptions, while TJ Pride caught 23 passes for 238 yards and one score. 

Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview

The Texas A&M Aggies are 7-2 (5-1) this season after they lost to South Carolina by a score of 44-20 in their last game. Texas A&M was tied at 20 at the half, but they didn’t score any points in the second half for the loss. The Aggies were outgained by a total of 530-350, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 4-15 on third down in the game. Marcel Reed threw for 206 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Jabre Barber caught seven passes for 80 yards and one score. 

Prior to that loss, the Aggies won seven games in a row, including wins over LSU, Missouri, and Arkansas. The A&M offense has scored 30.9 points per game with 182.6 passing yards and 212.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 21.2 points per game this season. Marcel Reed has completed 57.8% of his passes for 861 yards, seven touchdowns, and one interception, while Noah Thomas has caught 24 passes for 367 yards and three scores. 

Why Texas A&M will cover

  • Texas A&M has won 13 of its last 14 home games in November.
  • New Mexico State has lost three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of New Mexico State's last four games.
  • New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against opponents from the Southeastern Conference.

Why New Mexico State will cover

  • New Mexico State has won each of its last three road games in November.
  • New Mexico State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games in November.
  • Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of Texas A&M's last six games against non-conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of New Mexico State's last five road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas A&M ranks 10th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+7.3).
  • Texas A&M ranks 14th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (212.9).
  • New Mexico State ranks 131st among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (7.7).
  • New Mexico State ranks 129th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.6).

New Mexico State vs Texas A&M Prediction 

Texas A&M comes into this matchup tied with three teams in the loss column in the SEC standings. The Aggies do play Auburn and Texas in their last two games, so I don’t expect them to keep their starters in for more than a half here. New Mexico State has allowed 41, 34, 30, 54, and 50 points in their last five games and they are one of the worst defensive units in the country. This is a tricky game to call with how big this spread is, but I will side with the over, as I think A&M will score 45+ on their own. 

David’s Pick Over 54.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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