Louisiana-Monroe vs Texas Prediction College Football Picks 9/21/24

Pick details

Texas (3-0) vs Louisiana-Monroe (2-0)

September 21, 2024 at 08:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas -44.5 / Louisiana-Monroe +44.5 — Over/Under: 53

(Get latest betting odds)

The UL Monroe Warhawks and Texas Longhorns meet Saturday in week 4 college football action at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Louisiana-Monroe vs Texas Prediction. This article will include a Louisiana-Monroe vs Texas Pick.

UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Preview

The UL Monroe Warhawks beat Jackson State and UAB, and they play Troy next. The UL Monroe Warhawks haven’t won a road game since November 2022. General Booty is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 191 yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Javon Campbell and Davon Wells have combined for 135 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Nate Sullivan Jr. has 3 receptions.

The UL Monroe Warhawks ground game is averaging 206.5 yards per contest, and Ahmad Hardy leads the way with 161 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, UL Monroe is allowing 10 points and 272.5 yards per game. Carl Glass Jr. leads the UL Monroe Warhawks with 21 tackles, Billy Pullen has 3 sacks and Wydett Williams Jr. has 1 interception.

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview

The Texas Longhorns beat Michigan and UTSA, and they play Mississippi State next. The Texas Longhorns look for back-to-back 4-0 starts to the season. Quinn Ewers is completing 73.4 percent of his passes for 691 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Isaiah Bond and Ryan Wingo have combined for 412 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Gunnar Helm has 10 receptions.

The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 173.3 yards per contest, and Jerrick Gibson leads the way with 178 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 6.3 points and 245.3 yards per game. Anthony Hill Jr. leads the Texas Longhorns with 22 tackles, Colin Simmons has 2 sacks and Ethan Burke has 1 interception.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

  • Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 15 road games against opponents from the Southeastern Conference.
  • Texas has won each of its last 12 home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine road games in September.
  • Texas has covered the spread in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Louisiana-Monroe has lost the first half in 26 of its last 32 games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of Louisiana-Monroe’s last six games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Eight of Texas’ last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas ranks T5th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (6.3).
  • Texas ranks 6th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (342.7).
  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks T127th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (35).
  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks T14th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (34).

Louisiana-Monroe vs Texas Prediction

The Texas Longhorns are obviously capable of blowing the doors off, but they’re a national title contender that has bigger goals this season. Just how motivated will Texas be to lay the wood, and how long will the starters stick around? It’s fair to say the UL Monroe Warhawks will be the more motivated side, and they have covered 4 of their last 5 games against top-15 ranked teams. Also, this is the largest favorite Texas has been since a September 2020 game against UTEP. Too many points for my taste. Give me UL Monroe and the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: UL Monroe Warhawks +44.5

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