Eastern Michigan vs Kent State Prediction College Football Picks 9/28/24

Pick details

Kent State (0-4) vs Eastern Michigan (3-1)

September 28, 2024 at 03:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Kent State +14 / Eastern Michigan -14 — Over/Under: 46.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Eastern Michigan Eagles and the Kent State Golden Flashes meet Saturday in college football action from Dix Stadium. Here’s an Eastern Michigan vs Kent State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Eastern Michigan vs Kent State pick. We will examine:

The Eastern Michigan Eagles’ recent form and player performance

The Kent State Golden Flashes’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Eastern Michigan Eagles

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kent State Golden Flashes

Recent betting trends in games played between Eastern Michigan and Kent State

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Eastern Michigan vs Kent State game

Eastern Michigan Eagles Betting Preview

The Eagles had a pretty manageable road matchup versus UMass in their opener this year. Eastern Michigan powered out a 28-14 win in that one but fell the next week versus Washington 30-9. EMU followed that up with a 37-34 OT win over Jacksonville State.

In the St. Francis PA game last weekend the Eagles went into halftime with a 13-0 lead and got even better from there in a 36-0 win. Jeremiah Salem went a perfect 5-for-5 with 102 yards and a TD. Zyell Griffin caught an 89-yard scoring pass to lead the receivers.

Kent State Golden Flashes Betting Preview

Over on the Kent State, they’ve started the year with some tough matchups. The Flashes lost to Pittsburgh 55-24 in their opener, then lost a tough one to St. Francis PA 23-17 in game two. Kent State was then drilled by Tennessee 71-0 on September 14. 

Matched up against Penn State in their most recent outing, the Flashes were demolished. Kent State gave up double-digit points in each of the final three quarters in a 56-0 loss. JD Sherrod completed just two passes for 18 yards, and Ayden Harris led the rush with just 20 yards.

Why the Kent State Golden Flashes will win

  • Eastern Michigan has lost each of its last four road games in September.
  • The home team has won each of Eastern Michigan’s last three games.
  • The home team has covered the spread in five of Kent State’s last six games.
  • Eastern Michigan has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 11 September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Eastern Michigan Eagles will win

  • Kent State has lost each of its last 13 games.
  • The favorite has won 15 of Kent State’s last 16 games.
  • Kent State has failed to cover the spread in 12 of its last 13 games.
  • Eastern Michigan has covered the spread in each of its last four games.
  • Kent State has lost the first half in six of its last eight games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of Eastern Michigan’s last six games as a road favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Four of the last five games between Eastern Michigan and Kent State have gone UNDER the total points line.

Eastern Michigan vs Kent State Prediction

I’ll go with Eastern Michigan. Probably not touching this one, though. The Eagles looked good against a struggling St. Francis PA team last weekend with 327 total yards (203 passing) and zero turnovers. EMU had 10 penalties for 86 yards overall but posted some nice numbers on defense with 154 yards allowed (111 passing) and three takeaways.

As for Kent State, they were never going to compete with Penn State last weekend—and they didn’t. The Flashes notched just 67 total yards (18 passing), six first downs, and just one of 11 third-down conversions. This one won’t be such a difficult matchup but I don’t think Kent State covers.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Eastern Michigan Eagles -14

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