Pittsburgh vs Louisville Prediction College Football Picks 11/23/24

Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview

The Louisville Cardinals are 6-4 (4-3) this season after they lost to Stanford by a score of 38-35 in their last game. Louisville led 35-21 in the fourth quarter, but they allowed 17 points in the final 6:37 for the loss. The Cardinals outgained Stanford by a total of 432-406, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 4-10 on third down in the loss. Tyler Shough threw for 270 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Duke Watson rushed for 117 yards and three scores. 

Prior to that game, the Cardinals defeated Clemson by a score of 33-21 and Boston College by a score of 31-27. The Louisville offense has scored 36.1 points per game with 284.8 passing yards and 163 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.6 points per game this season. Tyler Shough has completed 63.6% of his passes for 2,774 yards, 21 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Ja’Corey Brooks has caught 57 passes for 945 yards and eight scores. 

Why Louisville will beat Pittsburgh

• Pittsburgh has lost six of its last seven games in November.
• Louisville has won 11 of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked teams at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium.
• Louisville has covered the spread in 10 of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked teams at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium.
• Pittsburgh has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four November games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Six of Louisville's last seven games at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of Pittsburgh's last six games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Louisville ranks T125th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (3).
• Louisville ranks 13th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (+5.8).
• Pittsburgh ranks 129th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (26:18).
• Pittsburgh ranks 13th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (104.6).

Pittsburgh vs Louisville Prediction

Louisville followed up their upset win against Clemson with a terrible fourth quarter against Stanford, which resulted in a bad loss. The Cardinals had played three very good games in a row, but that loss against Stanford stopped all of the momentum. Pittsburgh has lost three games in a row and they are dealing with an injury to their starting quarterback. The Panthers started the season with seven straight wins, but they have fallen off recently. Neither team has much momentum in this matchup, but I still think Louisville is the better team. Take the Cardinals here.