Virginia (5-5) vs SMU (9-1)
Game Info: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 12:00 pm (David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium)
Betting Odds: Virginia +9.5 / SMU -9.5 --- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The SMU Mustangs and Virginia Cavaliers meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Scott Stadium. Here’s an SMU vs Virginia Prediction. This article will include an SMU vs Virginia Pick.
SMU Mustangs Betting Preview
The SMU Mustangs beat Pitt and Boston College, and they play Cal next. SMU has won 9 straight road games. Kevin Jennings is completing 65.4 percent of his passes for 2,198 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Key'Shawn Smith and Roderick Daniels Jr. have combined for 817 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while RJ Maryland has 24 receptions.
The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 190.9 yards per contest, and Brashard Smith leads the way with 1,026 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 22.4 points and 348.6 yards per game. Kobe Wilson leads the SMU Mustangs with 79 tackles, Jahfari Harvey has 5 sacks and Ahmaad Moses has 3 interceptions.
Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Virginia Cavaliers lost to Notre Dame, beat Pitt, and they play Virginia Tech next. The Virginia Cavaliers have lost 3 of their last 4 home games. Anthony Colandrea is completing 61.4 percent of his passes for 2,017 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Malachi Fields and Tyler Neville have combined for 1,098 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Trell Harris has 13 receptions.
The Virginia Cavaliers ground game is averaging 142.2 yards per contest, and Xavier Brown leads the way with 488 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 27.5 points and 401 yards per game. Jonas Sanker leads the Virginia Cavaliers with 82 tackles, Kam Robinson has 4 sacks and Chico Bennett Jr. has 1 interception.
Why the SMU Mustangs will win
- SMU has won 19 of its last 20 games against conference opponents.
- Virginia has lost seven of its last eight games against top-15 AP-ranked teams at Scott Stadium.
- The team ranked 13th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in each of its last three games.
- Virginia has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four November games at Scott Stadium.
- Virginia has lost the first half in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Virginia's last five home games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of SMU's last four November games as a favorite has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Virginia ranks 118th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-3.8).
- Virginia ranks T116th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.2).
- SMU ranks T6th among FBS teams for points per game this season (39.9).
- SMU ranks 6th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (10.4).
SMU vs Virginia Prediction
It wouldn't be shocking to see the SMU Mustangs' role in this contest, but we should see some fight from Virginia. It's senior night for the Virginia Cavaliers, and this roster has 44 seniors !!! Virginia also becomes bowl-eligible for the first time since 2019 with a victory. Virginia is also 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games as a home underdog. If there was ever a game we see Virginia play hard and push for a win, it would be in this one. I'll grab the points with the Cavs at home.
Randy’s Pick Virginia +9.5
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
