Nevada (3-8) vs Air Force (3-7)
Game Info: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 10:30 pm (Clarence Mackay Stadium)
Betting Odds: Nevada -3.5 / Air Force +3.5 --- Over/Under: 44.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: FS1
In this article, we will formulate an Air Force vs Nevada prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 23rd at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup.
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
The Air Force Falcons are 3-7 (1-4) this year after they defeated Oregon State by a score of 28-0 in their last game. Air Force led 14-0 at halftime and added 14 more points in the fourth quarter for the win. The Falcons outgained Oregon State by a total of 410-175, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 8-12 on third down in the game. Quentin Hayes threw for 110 yards on five completions, while Dylan Carson rushed for 97 yards and one score.
Prior to that win, the Falcons defeated Fresno State by a score of 36-28 but did lose the seven games before that. The Air Force offense has scored 17.6 points per game with 94.9 passing yards and 209.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24 points per game this season. Quentin Hayes has completed 61.5% of his passes for 379 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Dylan Carson has rushed for 370 yards and two scores this year.
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
The Nevada Wolf Pack are 3-8 (0-5) this season after they lost Boise State by a score of 28-21 in their last game. Nevada was tied at 14 at halftime, but they allowed the first 14 points in the second half for the loss. The Wolf Pack were outgained by a total of 393-319, tied the turnover battle at two, and went 3-14 on third down in the game. Brendon Lewis threw for 188 yards and one touchdown, while Jaden Smith caught four passes for 57 yards and one score.
Prior to that loss, the Wolf Pack lost three games in a row against Colorado State, Hawaii, and Fresno State. The Nevada offense has scored 24.3 points per game with 200.4 passing yards and 178.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 28.5 points per game this season. Brendon Lewis has completed 67.5% of his passes for 1,730 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while also rushing for 692 yards and eight scores.
Why Nevada will beat Air Force
- Air Force has lost seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
- The home team has won each of Air Force's last three games.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Nevada's last seven November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Three of Air Force's last four games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Nevada ranks 17th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (91.2).
- Nevada ranks 116th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (5.9).
- Air Force ranks 3rd among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (34:03).
- Air Force ranks 128th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (7.9).
Air Force vs Nevada Prediction
Nevada comes into this matchup looking for their first conference win of the season, and they will be at home for this game. The Wolf Pack have lost four games in a row but will play an Air Force team that only has one Mountain West win. The Falcons have been pretty bad this season, but they have won two games in a row and have scored 28 and 36 points in those two victories. This is a battle between two bad Mountain West teams, but I have to give the edge to Nevada at home, especially with a relatively healthy Brendon Lewis.
David’s Pick Nevada -3.5
AUTHOR: David Racey
