Fresno State (5-5) vs Colorado State (7-3)
Game Info: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 10:30 pm (Valley Children's Stadium)
Betting Odds: Fresno State +1.5 / Colorado State -1.5 --- Over/Under: 50.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Colorado State Rams and the Fresno State Bulldogs meet Saturday in college football action from Valley Children’s Stadium. Here’s a Colorado State vs Fresno State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Colorado State vs Fresno State pick. We will examine:
The Colorado State Rams' recent form and player performance
The Fresno State Bulldogs' recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado State Rams
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Fresno State Bulldogs
Recent betting trends in games played between Colorado State and Fresno State
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Colorado State vs Fresno State game
Colorado State Rams Betting Preview
This year the Rams started things off on a 2-3 run with losses to Texas, Colorado, and Oregon State. Colorado State has since hit a nice win streak, taking out San Jose State, Air Force, New Mexico, Nevada, and Wyoming in succession.
In the Wyoming game last Friday, the Rams were up 17-3 by halftime. Colorado State held the pace from there in a 24-10 win. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi posted 192 pass yards with a score, while Justin Marshall led the rush on 104 yards from 16 totes.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
Over on the Fresno State side, they went 3-3 over their first half-dozen outings. The Bulldogs took out Sacramento State, New Mexico State, and New Mexico during that time. Since then it’s been wins over Nevada and SJSU before losses to Hawaii and Air Force.
Matched up against Air Force on November 9 in their last outing, the Bulldogs gave up points in every quarter along the way to a 36-28 loss. Mikey Keene threw for 289 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception. Lead receiver Mac Dalena caught two scores off four grabs for 89 yards.
Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win
- Colorado State has lost 11 of its last 12 November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won 15 of Colorado State's last 16 games.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Colorado State's last five games.
Why the Colorado State Rams will win
- Fresno State has lost each of its last four November games as a favorite.
- Colorado State has won each of its last five games.
- Colorado State has covered the spread in each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games in November.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Fresno State's last seven games against conference opponents at Valley Children's Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Colorado State's last six games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Colorado State vs Fresno State Prediction
I’ll lean toward Colorado State. You could obviously make a case either way, though. The Rams didn’t have a ton of issues against a struggling Wyoming team in their last outing, posting 446 yards (248 rushing), 7.2 yards per play, and 17 first downs. Colorado State went just 3-of-12 on third-down conversions, though. The defense was strong on 237 yards allowed (120 passing), 10 first downs, and 3-of-14 on third downs.
As for Fresno State, they were drilled in the rushing game by Air Force 344 yards to negative-five yards. The Bulldogs' 1-of-4 rate on third downs and ugly 14:52 in time of possession certainly didn’t help, as the Falcons controlled the second half 19-7. I could see Fresno State getting into a cover/win here if they can surpass 20 points or so, but it’ll be close.
Andrew’s Pick Colorado State Rams -1.5
AUTHOR: Andrew Jett
