Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction College Football Picks 11/9/24

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Preview

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns are 7-1 (4-0) this year after they defeated Texas State by a score of 23-17 in their last game. Louisiana led 14-6 at the half, but they were tied at 14 in the third quarter, before scoring nine of the last 12 points in the game for the win. The Ragin’ Cajuns outgained Texas State by a total of 424-378, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 7-13 on third down in the game. Ben Wooldridge threw for 252 yards and one touchdown, while Dre’lyn Washington rushed for 94 yards and one score. 

Prior to that win, the Ragin’ Cajuns won four games in a row against Coastal Carolina, App State, Southern Miss, and Wake Forest. The Louisiana offense has scored 33.8 points per game with 262.5 passing yards and 178.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.1 points per game this season. Ben Wooldridge has completed 69% of his passes for 2,037 yards, 16 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Bill Davis has rushed for 520 yards and three scores. 

Why Arkansas State will cover

• The road team has won six of Louisiana's last seven games.
• Arkansas State has covered the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Louisiana has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams at Cajun Field.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Arkansas State's last five November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Nineteen of Louisiana's last 22 games against conference opponents at Cajun Field have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Louisiana ranks T6th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.6).
• Louisiana ranks T7th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.0).
• Arkansas State ranks 126th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (213.8).
• Arkansas State ranks 125th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (17.3).

Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction 

Louisiana rolls into this matchup undefeated in conference play and they have only lost once this season. The Ragin’ Cajuns have scored 34+ points in three of their last five games and they will have the home-field advantage. Arkansas State has also played well this season and they have scored 78 points in their last two games, but those two games were against two of the weakest teams in the conference. I think we could see plenty of points scored by each side here, but Louisiana hasn’t won by more than 14 points since their second game of the season. Take the points with Arkansas State on the road.