Louisiana-Monroe (5-3) vs Texas State (4-4)
Game Info: Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 12:00 pm (JPS Field at James L. Malone Stadium)
Betting Odds: Louisiana-Monroe +7.5 / Texas State -7.5 --- Over/Under: 49 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Texas State Bobcats and the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks meet in week 11 college football action from Malone Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe prediction.
Texas State Recap
The Texas State Bobcats come into this one looking to rebound from a 23-17 loss to Louisiana to fall to 4-4 on the year. After this game, Texas State will head home for a date with Southern Miss.
Bobcats Drop Back-To-Back Games
Jordan McCloud has thrown for 1,979 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions on 68.4% passing while Ismail Mahdi has rushed for a team-high 728 yards. Joey Hobert leads Texas State’s receiving group with 51 grabs for 513 yards and 7 touchdowns while Jaden Williams has 38 grabs for 482 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. Chris Dawn Jr. and Kole Wilsoneach have 300+ receiving yards and 3 receiving TDs apiece this season. On defense, Jordan Polk has a team-high 49 total tackles while Stephen Parker and Kalil Alexander each have 5 sacks. As a unit, Texas State has combined for 26 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Texas State Bobcats will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last seven games in November.
- The favorite has won each of the last nine games between Texas State and Louisiana-Monroe.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six home games in November.
- The road team has covered the spread in seven of the last eight games between Texas State and Louisiana-Monroe.
Louisiana-Monroe Recap
The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks come into this game looking to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 28-23 loss to Marshall last time out. After this game, ULM will head on the road for a matchup with Auburn.
Warhawks Looking For Bowl Eligibility
Aidan Armenta has thrown for 779 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 58.2% passing and General Booty has thrown for 241 yards, a touchdown, and 2 interceptions on 52.8% passing while Ahmad Hardy has rushed for 811 yards and 7 touchdowns to lead the Warhawks on the ground. Taven Curry has 143 rushing yards James Jones has 261 rushing yards and a touchdown, while Jake Godfrey has 197 receiving yards and Davon Wells has a team-high 21 catches for 195 yards. On defense, Wydett Williams Jr. has a team-high 64 total tackles and 3 interceptions and Billy Pullen has a team-high 5 sacks as well on the year. As a unit, Louisiana-Monroe has combined for 16 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- Texas State has lost 10 of its last 11 road games in November.
- The home team has won nine of Louisiana-Monroe's last 10 games.
- Louisiana-Monroe has covered the spread in each of its last four games at Malone Stadium.
- Texas State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Texas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe Prediction
I’m on ULM here. I just think that the Warhawks have been at their best at home, and Texas State’s offense, which was a talking point about this team earlier in the year, has almost vanished completely. The Warhawks haven’t been anything to write home about offensively either, but they’ve stayed competitive and have a good shot at winning this one outright at home. I’ll side with ULM here.
Chris’s Pick Louisiana-Monroe +7.5
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
