Michigan State vs Oregon Prediction College Football Picks 10/4/24

The Michigan State Spartans and the Oregon Ducks meet Friday in college football action from Autzen Stadium. Here’s a Michigan State vs Oregon prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Michigan State vs Oregon pick. We will examine:

The Michigan State Spartans’ recent form and player performance

The Oregon Ducks’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Michigan State Spartans

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Oregon Ducks

Recent betting trends in games played between Michigan State and Oregon

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Michigan State vs Oregon game

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Spartans got off to a nice start this year, taking wins in their first three games. Those came 16-10 versus Florida Atlantic, 27-24 over Maryland, and 40-0 against Prairie View. Game four was a loss 23-19 to Boston College.

Last weekend versus Ohio State, Michigan State gave up 21 points in the second quarter on the way to a 38-7 blowout loss. Aidan Chiles logged 167 yards passing with one TD and one interception. Jaron Glover was the leading receiver with 53 yards and a score.

Oregon Ducks Betting Preview

Over on the Ducks’ side, they managed a 24-14 win over Idaho in their August 31 opener. Oregon barely escaped Boise State 37-34 the next week, but didn’t have too many issues with Oregon State in a 49-14 win.

In the UCLA game, Oregon didn’t have too many issues. The Ducks were up 28-10 by the end of the first half and eventually won 34-13. QB Dillon Gabriel finished with 278 yards, three TDs, and one pick. Tez Johnson caught 11 balls for 121 yards and a pair of scores.

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

• Oregon has won each of its last 25 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Michigan State has lost eight of its last nine games against AP-ranked teams.
• Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in 14 of its last 15 games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
• Oregon has covered the spread in five of its last six October games as a favorite.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• Oregon has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Michigan State has covered the spread in each of its last three road games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Michigan State’s last seven road games against top-10 AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Oregon’s last four October games at Autzen Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.

Michigan State vs Oregon Prediction

I’ll stick with Oregon, even considering the hefty line. The Ducks had a fairly quiet second half on the scoreboard in their win over UCLA but with the defense humming it hardly mattered. Oregon gave up just 172 total yards (125 passing), 11 first downs, and 1-of-10 on third-down conversions. On offense, the Ducks posted 431 yards (278 passing) and 27 first downs in a pretty good all-around display.

As for Michigan State, they were only able to notch 246 yards (199 passing), 13 first downs, three turnovers, and 24:17 in time of possession against a great Ohio State team over the weekend. Oregon will be a tough customer as well, and I don’t see the Spartans getting too close here.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Oregon Ducks -25.5