The New York Liberty and the Phoenix Mercury meet Friday in WNBA action from the PHX Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams this season by a final score of 89-81 back on June 19^th, 2025. The win made it four straight head-to-head meetings without back-to-back winners in this matchup.

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to build on their 81-78 win over the Golden State Valkyries last time out to improve to 11-3 on the year. After this
game, the Liberty will head on the road for a game against the Atlanta Dream.

Liberty Snap Two-Game Losing Streak

Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty in scoring with 21 PPG along with 5.9 RPG and 3.6 APG while Sabrina Ionescu has 19.7 PPG with 4.3 RPG and 5.1 APG. Jonquel Jones has 12.1 PPG with a team-high 9.6 RPG to lead the Liberty in rebounding and to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty so far this season. Natasha Cloud has 8 PPG with 3.7 RPG and a team-high 6.6 APG to lead the Liberty in assists while Kennedy Burke has also chipped in 9.2 PPG and 3.1 RPG as well this season. As a team, New York is averaging 87.8 PPG on 45.6% shooting from the field, 34.8% from three and 82.6% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury will be looking to build on their 107-86 win over the Chicago Sky last time out to sit at 11-4 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will square off against the Las Vegas Aces at home.

Mercury Win 5 In A Row

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 19.3 PPG along with 8.1 RPG, 2.6 APG and 1.4 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.4 PPG with 7.2 RPG and 8.9 APG and Kahleah Copper has 13.3 PPG to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 8.7 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.3 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 9.3 PPG as well on the year. Sami Whitcomb also has 9.4 PPG with 3.8 RPG and 2.4 APG this season. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 82.3 PPG on 42.8% shooting from the field, 33.4% from three-point range and 79.2% from the foul line so far this season.

New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction

I’m on the Mercury here. I get the case to be made for the Liberty as it’s not often you see New York at plus money or as an underdog and I think that it’s this way for a reason. The Mercury have been playing well since getting everyone back in the lineup like Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas and I think that is a big deal here. Give me the Mercury here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Phoenix -1.5