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Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 6/15/25 WNBA Picks

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Las Vegas Aces (5-4) vs Phoenix Mercury (7-4)

June 15, 2025 at 06:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Las Vegas Aces +5 — Over/Under: 164

(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Mercury and the Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday in WNBA action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.

Matchup History

The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on September 1st, 2024, by a final score of 97-79, making it back-to-back wins and wins in 9 of the last 10 meetings for the Aces in this head-to-head matchup.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to build on their 93-80 win over the Dallas Wings last time out to sit at 7-4 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road again for a game against the Connecticut Sun.

Mercury Alternate Wins & Losses In 7 Straight

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 20.5 PPG along with 7.8 RPG, 2.9 APG and 1.6 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.5 PPG with team-highs of 6.7 RPG and 8.3 APG to cap off the pair of double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 9.5 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.3 PPG. Kathryn Westbeld has also chipped in 7.4 PPG with 3.8 RPG while Kitija Laksa has 9.1 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 79.9 PPG on 42.7% shooting from the field, 33.2% from three-point range and 76.6% from the foul line so far this season.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to build on their 88-84 win over the Dallas Wings last time out to sit at 5-4 on the year. After this game, the Aces will head on the road for a game against the Minnesota Lynx.

Aces Snap Two-Game Skid Despite Wilson’s Absence

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces across the board with 20.9 PPG along with 9.6 RPG to go along with 4 APG, 2.6 BPG and 2 SPG but is doubtful for this game with a head injury. Jackie Young has 19.4 PPG with 4 RPG and 3 APG as well this season. Chelsea Gray has chipped in 14.6 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 3.3 APG and Jewell Loyd’s added 10.4 PPG with 4 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Las Vegas so far this season. Dana Evans has also chipped in 5.9 PPG with 1.9 APG as well this season. As a team, Las Vegas is averaging 82 PPG on 39.3% shooting from the field, 33.3% from three and 84.7% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction

I’m on the under here. The Mercury for me this season have been known to be a bit more of a defensive-minded team, especially with all of the injuries they’ve had to navigate this season and I expect no different here but should have a decent outing against an Aces team that barely got by Dallas without A’Ja Wilson, who is still in concussion protocol. I think this is still going to end up being a defensive game once again, so give me the under here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 164

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