Aug 19, 2025; San Francisco, California, USA; Phoenix Mercury forward Satou Sabally (0) looks for a pass against Golden State Valkyries guard Kate Martin (20) in the fourth quarter at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Eakin Howard-Imagn Images

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 8/21/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

Phoenix (21-13) vs Las Vegas (22-14)

August 21, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Las Vegas -1.5 — Over/Under: +171

(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Mercury and the Las Vegas Aces meet Thursday in WNBA action from the Michelob ULTRA Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.

Matchup History

The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 15th, 2025, making it back-to-back wins and four wins in the last five meetings for the Aces in this head-to-head matchup.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to add on to their 98-91 win over the Golden State Valkyries last time out to improve to 21-13 this season. After this game, the Mercury will head home for a rematch against the Golden State Valkyries.

Mercury Win Back-To-Back Games

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 17.5 PPG along with 6.6 RPG, 2.3 APG and 1.3 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15.8 PPG with 8.6 RPG and 9.1 APG and Kahleah Copper has 16.2 PPG. Sami Whitcomb also has 10 PPG with 2.9 RPG and 2.7 APG while DeWanna Bonner has 10.4 PPG in 10 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 6.8 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.4 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 6.7 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.3 PPG on 43.5% shooting from the field, 33.6% from three-point range and 77.9% from the foul line so far this season.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to add on to their 74-72 win over the Atlanta Dream last time out to sit at 22-14 this season. After this game, the Aces will begin a road trip with a game against the Washington Mystics.

Aces Win 8 In A Row

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces across the board with 21.5 PPG along with 9.1 RPG to go along with 3.3 APG, 2.3 BPG and 1.7 SPG. Jackie Young has 16.6 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.5 APG as well this season. Chelsea Gray has chipped in 11 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.5 APG and Jewell Loyd’s added 11.4 PPG with 3.7 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Las Vegas so far this season. As a team, Las Vegas is averaging 81.4 PPG on 42% shooting from the field, 32.4% from three and 82.3% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction

I’m on the Aces here. I get the case to be made for the Mercury as I’ve been on the boat that this Mercury team is one of the best in the WNBA when fully healthy and at their peak. However, I’ve been saying it all along, that the Aces are finally getting their act together and playing like the team so many people expected them to be this season but expected it a lot earlier than what it’s been so far. Either way it’s better late then never with the Aces for me, and I think the Aces get the job done at home here. Give me Las Vegas.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Las Vegas -1.5

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