Cal Poly vs Montana State Prediction 11/15/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Cal Poly vs Montana State Prediction

I’ll just stay with Montana State. The Bobcats are coming off a tough draw against BYU at Marriott Center in Provo, falling by 15 points in the end. Montana State shot 44 percent from the field in that one with a 38-30 rebounding deficit and just 54 percent (7-of-13) at the line. The 58 percent shooting allowed on defense didn’t help matters either. The Bobcats have lost two of their three games thus far, but they’ve scored well overall with 71 or more points in each outing. This is a manageable game if Montana State plays to their capabilities.

As for Cal Poly, they had a ton of issues with turnovers across their first three games. In their latest matchup versus Idaho on Friday, the Mustangs notched a pretty solid nine-point road win and held the miscues to just eight. Cal Poly shot 40 percent from the field and 78 percent (18-of-23) from the line while staying competitive on the boards (a 43-40 deficit). The Mustangs are scoring well this year so far; they’ve hit 71 or more points in all four games.

Game Info, Stats and Previews

The Cal Poly Mustangs and the Montana State Bobcats meet Sunday in college basketball action from Worthington Arena. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Cal Poly vs Montana State prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Cal Poly vs Montana State pick. We will also examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. We will tie it all together to the pick summary, resulting in a sensible prediction for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Preview

Cal Poly took a win over Cal State San Marcos in their opener on November 2 by a margin of 78-62. The Mustangs shot 44 percent from the field in that one with a 59-36 rebounding edge but also coughed up a whopping 25 turnovers along the way. In game two versus Arizona, Cal Poly recorded their first loss of the year 104-84. The Mustangs shot a nice 43 percent (16-of-37) from 3-point range but also got into turnover trouble again with 19 miscues. In game three versus Grand Canyon, Cal Poly took another loss 99-71. The Mustangs gave up 51 percent shooting on defense and had 19 turnovers.

In their fourth matchup of the season versus Idaho on Friday, the Mustangs were able to bang out an 83-74 win at ICCU Arena in Moscow, improving their record to 2-2 overall.

Montana State Bobcats Betting Preview

Over on the Montana State side, they have three games in the bag so far but only one win to show for it. The opener was an 84-74 loss at Colorado State. In that one the Bobcats shot a tepid 40 percent from the field and got outmuscled on the boards 39-27. Game two was Montana State’s first win of the year 83-70 versus Long Beach State. The Bobcats shot 52 percent from the field this time with a 39-23 rebounding edge and 71 percent (12-of-17) at the line.

Matched up against BYU for game three, the Bobcats took another loss, this time 86-71. Leading the starters was Jeremiah Davis with 14 points, two rebounds and two assists. London Praytor added 14 points and two boards off the bench as well.

Cal Poly Mustangs @ Montana State Bobcats Betting Trends: November 15, 2026

Why the Montana State Bobcats will win

• Montana State has won 14 of its last 15 games at Worthington Arena following a road loss.
• Cal Poly has lost four of its last five road games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• Montana State has lost each of its last six Sunday day games against non-Conference opponents.
• Cal Poly has won three of its last four day games.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Montana State Bobcats TBA