New York Liberty vs Portland Fire Prediction 5/14/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty and the Portland Fire meet Thursday in WNBA action from the Moda Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire prediction.

Matchup History

The Portland Fire won the most recent meeting between these two teams on Tuesday by a final score of 98-96, winning the first meeting in Portland’s return to the WNBA. 

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to shake off Tuesday’s loss to Portland to sit at 2-1 this season. After this game, the Liberty will head home for a game against the Golden State Valkyries.

Liberty Suffer First L Of Season

Entering Tuesday, Breanna Stewart has 27 PPG along with 9.5 RPG while Marine Johanes has 21 PPG and 3 RPG and 2.5 APG. Jonquel Jones has 11.5 PPG with 6.5 RPG and Pauline Astier has 11.5 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 5.5 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty this season. Rebekah Gardner has 9 PPG with 3.5 RPG as well this season.

Portland Fire Recap

The Portland Fire come into this game looking to add on to one of their biggest wins of what could be the entire year after their victory over the Liberty on Tuesday. After this game, Portland will head home for a game against the Connecticut Sun.

Fire Pick Up First W

Going into Tuesday, Carla Leite had 18 points with an 11 of 12 mark from the foul line while Bridget Carleton chipped in 13 points on 4 of 10 shooting with 3 threes and 4 assists. Sarah Ashlee Barker added 11 points on 6 of 9 shooting with 4 rebounds while Megan Gustafson added 10 points on 4 of 6 shooting with a pair of threes to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Fire in the loss. Luisa Geiselsoder added 8 points with a team-high 7 rebounds and Jordan Harrison added 4 assists of her own in the loss.

New York Liberty @ Portland Fire Betting Trends: May 14, 2026

Why the Portland Fire will win

• The Liberty have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The home team has won three of the Liberty’s last four games.
• The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games following a road loss.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Liberty’s last four games.

Why the New York Liberty will win

• The Liberty have won each of their last eight Thursday road games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Liberty’s last eight games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Portland Fire Player Facts

• Luisa Geiselsoder ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
• Emily Engstler is the only player in the league to have recorded 3+ blocks in consecutive games this season.

New York Liberty Player Facts

• Marine Johannes ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (4.7) this season.
• Breanna Stewart is the only player in the league to have recorded 20+ points and 5+ rebounds in consecutive games this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Portland Fire rank 14th for opponent points per game this season (97.0).
• The Portland Fire rank 14th for opponent assists per game this season (22.5).
• The New York Liberty rank 1st for points per game this season (100.0).
• The New York Liberty rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+11.3).

New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire Prediction

I’m on the Liberty here. This is just a prime revenge spot for the Liberty off of a crushing loss to where they led for the majority of that game but now have to deal with the humiliation and noise that comes with losing to an expansion team. The Liberty plain and simple are the better team and I think they get it done here. Give me New York.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New York -11.5