New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 07/25/2025 Picks

The Phoenix Mercury and the New York Liberty meet Friday in WNBA action from the Barclays Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury have won both meetings between these two teams this season with the Mercury winning the most recent meeting in Phoenix 106-91 back on June 27^th, 2025.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to rebound from their 90-79 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Dream last time out to sit at 15-8 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road for a game against the Washington Mystics.

Mercury Drop Back-To-Back Games

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 18.8 PPG along with 7.3 RPG, 2.5 APG and 1.4 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.8 PPG with 7.5 RPG and 9.5 APG and Kahleah Copper has 15.7 PPG. Sami Whitcomb also has 10.8 PPG with 3.2 RPG and 2.7 APG while DeWanna Bonner has 14.5 PPG in 4 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 8.3 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.6 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 7.5 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.2 PPG on 43.1% shooting from the field, 34.6% from three-point range and 77.5% from the foul line so far this season.

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to add on to their 98-84 win over the Indiana Fever last time out to sit at 16-6 this season. After this game, the Liberty will finish their homestand with a game against the Los Angeles Sparks.

Liberty Win Four In A Row

Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty in scoring with 19.6 PPG along with 6.7 RPG and 4 APG while Sabrina Ionescu has 18.4 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 5.7 APG. Jonquel Jones has 12.7 PPG with a team-high 9.5 RPG to lead the Liberty in rebounding and to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty so far this season. Natasha Cloud has 9.9 PPG with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 5.9 APG to lead the Liberty in assists while Kennedy Burke has also chipped in 8.9 PPG and 2.4 RPG as well this season. As a team, New York is averaging 87.4 PPG on 45.4% shooting from the field, 36% from three and 83% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Prediction

I’m on the Mercury and the points here. I just think the return of key pieces like Kahleah Copper and Satou Sabally will loom large against a Liberty team that’s playing with some confidence right now and is out for double revenge after getting beat twice by the Mercury so far this season. New York is comfortable at home, but I think the Mercury will be up to the task here to at least keep it close. Give me the Mercury here and the points.