Aug 1, 2025; Uncasville, Connecticut, USA; Connecticut Sun center Tina Charles (31) and teammates react after a play against the New York Liberty in the second half at Mohegan Sun Arena. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-Imagn Images

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction 08/03/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

New York (17-10) vs Connecticut (5-21)

August 3, 2025 at 01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Connecticut +12.5 — Over/Under: 172

(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Liberty and the Connecticut Sun meet Sunday in WNBA action from the Mohegan Sun Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun prediction.

Matchup History

The Connecticut Sun won the most recent meeting two days ago by a final score of 78-62 on August 1st, 2025, making it four straight meetings without back-to-back winners but the Liberty have still won 7 of the last 9 meetings between these two teams.

New York Liberty Recap

The New York Liberty come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Sun last time out to slip to 17-10 this season. After this game, the Liberty will head on the road for the first leg of a home-and-home against the Dallas Wings.

Liberty Lose 4th In A Row

Sabrina Ionescu leads the Liberty in scoring with 19.8 PPG with 5.7 APG and 4.7 RPG while Breanna Stewart has 18.3 PPG with 6.5 RPG and 3.9 APG. Jonquel Jones has 13.7 PPG with a team-high 8.9 RPG to lead the Liberty in rebounding and Natasha Cloud has 10.1 PPG with 3.5 RPG and a team-high 5.9 APG to lead the Liberty in assists and to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty so far this season. Kennedy Burke has also chipped in 8.4 PPG and 2.3 RPG while Leonie Fiebich has 8.8 PPG with 4 RPG as well this season. As a team, New York is averaging 86.9 PPG on 45.1% shooting from the field, 35% from three and 83.6% from the foul line this season.

Connecticut Sun Recap

The Connecticut Sun come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Liberty from their last matchup to sit at 5-21 this season. After this game, the Sun will begin a road trip against the Phoenix Mercury.

Sun Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Tina Charles leads the Sun in scoring with 16.1 PPG along with 5.7 RPG while Marina Mabrey has 14.5 PPG with 4.6 RPG and 4.1 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Sun up to this point in the year. Olivia Nelson-Ododa has 8.9 PPG with 5.6 RPG while Saniya Rivers has 7.7 PPG with 3 RPG and 2.8 APG and Bria Hartley has 9.5 PPG with 3 APG. Jacy Sheldon has also chipped in 7.7 PPG and 2 APG as well this season. As a team, Connecticut is averaging 74.7 PPG on 40% shooting from the field, 30.5% from three and 80.9% from the foul line this season.

New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun Prediction

I’m on the Sun and the points here. I get the case to be made for the Liberty in a quick revenge spot after getting beat up by the Sun last time out, but the thing here is that the Sun have started to be more competitive in a lot of their recent games and the Liberty continue to be overvalued just because they have the title of defending champs. The Sun aren’t going to win a ton of games and I’m not thinking they win outright again here, but this is too many points. Give me Connecticut and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Connecticut +12.5

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