Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 6/17/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Las Vegas Aces and the Phoenix Mercury meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the Mortgage Matchup Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on May 9, 2026, by a final score of 99-66 to get their finals revenge over the Aces.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to shake off a 96-66 loss at the hands of Dallas last time out to sit at 10-4 this season. After this game, the Aces will head home for a game against the Golden State Valkyries.

Aces Have Six-Game Win Streak Snapped

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 24.8 PPG along with 7.2 RPG and 2.7 APG while NaLyssa Smith’s added 11.3 PPG with 6 RPG and 4.7 APG. Chennedy Carter’s added 20 PPG and Chelsea Gray’s added 12 PPG with 6.7 APG to lead the Aces in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Aces up to this point in the season. Jackie Young also has 9.3 PPG with 4.7 RPG and 5.5 APG.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to shake off their 111-102 loss at the hands of the Los Angeles Sparks last time out to sit at 4-11 this season. After this game, the Mercury will take on the Seattle Storm at home.

Mercury Lose 3 In A Row

Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 18.2 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15 PPG with 7 RPG and a team-high 7.5 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 11.8 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 11 PPG while Natasha Mack has 10.3 PPG with 8.3 RPG to lead the Mercury in rebounding and to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. 

Las Vegas Aces @ Phoenix Mercury Betting Trends: June 17, 2026

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The underdogs have won three of the Aces’ last four games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
• The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last five games after coming off overtime.
• The Aces have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Aces have won each of their last 11 night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mercury have lost each of their last seven home games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
• The Aces have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 road games against the Mercury.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mercury’s last 10 home games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Aces’ last nine games at Mortgage Matchup Center have gone OVER the total points line.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• DeWanna Bonner ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (92.9%) this season.
• Alyssa Thomas has recorded 3+ assists in 80 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (25.6) this season.
• NaLyssa Smith ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (68.1%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goals made per game this season (27.8).
• The Phoenix Mercury have recorded the longest home losing streak in the WNBA this season (5 games).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank T1st for assists per game this season (23.4).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank T14th for steals per game this season (6.1).

Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction

I’m on the Aces here. Just like the Mercury got their revenge on the Aces on opening night from being swept in the finals, I think the Aces avenge that loss that was a humiliating 30-point blowout loss at home on banner night. The Mercury have been the most disppointing team in the WNBA so far this season and I think that carries over here as the Aces get the blowout revenge win.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Las Vegas -7.5