Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 08/05/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Connecticut Sun and the Phoenix Mercury meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the PHX Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on June 18^th, 2025, by a final score of 83-75, snapping Connecticut’s five-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

Connecticut Sun Recap

The Connecticut Sun will be out to rebound from their 87-78 loss at the hands of the New York Liberty last time out to fall to 5-22 on the year. After this game, the Sun will head on the road for a game against the Los Angeles Sparks.

Sun Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight

Tina Charles leads the Sun in scoring with 16.1 PPG along with 5.8 RPG while Marina Mabrey has 14.2 PPG with 4.6 RPG and 4 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Sun up to this point in the year. Olivia Nelson-Ododa has 8.8 PPG with 5.5 RPG while Saniya Rivers has 7.7 PPG with 3 RPG and 2.8 APG and Bria Hartley has 9.6 PPG with 3 APG. Jacy Sheldon has also chipped in 7.6 PPG and 2 APG as well this season. As a team, Connecticut is averaging 74.9 PPG on 40% shooting from the field, 30.1% from three and 80.8% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury will be looking to build on their 83-67 win over the Chicago Sky last time out to improve to 17-11 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will square off against the Indiana Fever at home.

Mercury Snap Two-Game Losing Streak

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 17.2 PPG along with 6.7 RPG, 2.4 APG and 1.3 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 16 PPG with 8.4 RPG and 9 APG and Kahleah Copper has 16.3 PPG. Sami Whitcomb also has 10.2 PPG with 3 RPG and 2.8 APG while DeWanna Bonner has 10 PPG in 9 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 7.1 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.4 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 6.7 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.4 PPG on 43.4% shooting from the field, 33.4% from three-point range and 77.7% from the foul line so far this season.

Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction

I’m on the Sun and the points here. I get the case to be made for the Mercury being favored at home in this one, but the thing is I think this is a case of too many points. Connecticut’s been a really profitable double-digit dog this season and while this is the healthiest the Mercury have been, they’ve been average at best as a double-digit favorite this season. I think this game plays out very similarly to the Sun’s game against the Liberty where the Mercury win but the Sun find a crack and find a way to sneak in the back door for this one so I’ll roll with the Sun and the points here.