The Phoenix Mercury and the Connecticut Sun meet Wednesday in WNBA action from the Mohegan Sun Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun prediction.

Matchup History

The Connecticut Sun won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on September 13^th, 2024, by a final score of 88-69 to make it five straight wins for the Sun in this head-to-head matchup.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury will be out to build on their 76-70 win over the Las Vegas Aces last time out to sit at 8-4 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road again for a game against the New York Liberty.

Mercury Win Back-To-Back Games

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 20.6 PPG along with 7.9 RPG, 2.9 APG and 1.6 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.4 PPG with team-highs of 6.6 RPG and 9 APG to cap off the pair of double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 9 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 7.6 PPG. Kathryn Westbeld has also chipped in 6.8 PPG with 3.4 RPG while Kitija Laksa has 8.6 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 79.6 PPG on 42.3% shooting from the field, 32.8% from three-point range and 77.6% from the foul line so far this season.

Connecticut Sun Recap

The Connecticut Sun come into this game looking to rebound from an 88-71 loss to the Indiana Fever last time out to sit at 2-9 on the year. After this game, the Sun will square off against the Dallas Wings at home.

Sun Lose Three In A Row

Marina Mabrey leads the Sun in scoring and assists with 17.6 PPG and 3.8 APG along with 5.2 RPG while Tina Charles has 16.8 PPG with 5.5 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Sun up to this point in the year. Olivia Nelson-Ododa has 8.2 PPG with 6.2 RPG while Saniya Rivers has 7.1 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2.8 APG and Bria Hartley has 7.6 PPG with 3.2 APG. Jacy Sheldon has also chipped in 2.2 APG as well this season. As a team, Connecticut is averaging 71.3 PPG on 39.6% shooting from the field, 29.7% from three and 78.9% from the foul line this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun Prediction

I’m on the under here. I get the case to be made for a home underdog in spots but this is just a brutal one for the Connecticut Sun, who are on a true back-to-back in this game with travel. On the other side, the Mercury do get Kahleah Copper back and she had a solid return, but this number is a bit much even if they’re the rested team here. The Mercury still have a great defense and I think the only way for the Sun to keep this game close is if they limit possessions and try to slow the game down. I think this is going to be a lower-scoring battle, so give me the under in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 158.5