Jun 28, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA;  Las Vegas Aces guard Jewell Loyd (24) celebrates with guard Jackie Young (0) after she shoots a three-point basket against the Chicago Sky during the second half at United Center. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images
Matt Marton-Imagn Images

Chicago Sky vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 7/3/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Chicago Sky Las Vegas Aces
Team Records 6-13 14-5
Spread +7.5 -118 -7.5 -102
Moneyline +230 -285
Total Over 181.5 (-108) Under 181.5 (-112)
Where T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
When Friday, July 3, 2026
Time 10:00 PM EDT
TV ION

The Chicago Sky and the Las Vegas Aces meet Friday in WNBA action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.

Matchup History

The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on June 28th, 2026, by a final score of 107-99, making it six straight wins for the Aces in this head-to-head matchup.

Chicago Sky Recap

The Chicago Sky come into this game looking to bounce back from the loss to the Aces last time out to slip to 6-13 this season. After this game, the Sky will head on the road for a game against the Phoenix Mercury. 

Sky Drop 7 Of Last 9

Skylar Diggins has 13.9 PPG with 3.3 RPG and a team-high 4.9 APG to lead the Sky in assists. Kamilla Cardoso has 14.5 PPG with 8.6 RPG to lead the Sky in rebounding. Sydney Taylor has 12.5 PPG and Azura Stevens has 10.6 PPG with 6.3 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Chicago this season.

Las Vegas Aces Recap

The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to bounce back from a 93-85 loss at the hands of the New York Liberty in the Commissioners Cup final last time out. After this game, the Aces will head home for a game against the Indiana Fever.

Aces Looking To Rebound

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 25.7 PPG along with 9.4 RPG and 2.9 APG while NaLyssa Smith’s added 11 PPG with 6.3 RPG. Chennedy Carter’s added 14.1 PPG and Chelsea Gray’s added 12.3 PPG with 7.4 APG to lead the Aces in assists and Jackie Young also has 16.5 PPG with 4.6 RPG and 6.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Aces up to this point in the season.

Chicago Sky @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: July 3, 2026


Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

  • The Aces have won each of their last 12 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Sky have lost each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Aces have covered the spread in five of their last six night games at T-Mobile Arena.
  • The Sky have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Chicago Sky will win

  • The Sky have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Aces have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four home games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Aces’ last eight games at T-Mobile Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Sky’s last four games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

  • Jackie Young ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.2%) this season.
  • NaLyssa Smith ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (66.1%) this season.

Chicago Sky Player Facts

  • Kamilla Cardoso has recorded the most field goal attempts without a three-point attempt (182) of any player in the league this season.
  • Sydney Taylor ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (25.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for assists per game this season (22.9).
  • The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.4).
  • The Chicago Sky rank 1st for blocks per game this season (5.5).
  • The Chicago Sky rank 14th for opponent blocks per game this season (5.2).

Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction

I’m on the Aces here. I think that with or without A’Ja Wilson, this is just a mismatch as the Sky just don’t have the pieces to hang with the Aces on a night to night basis and you also have the Aces coming off of a frustrating loss in the spotlight of the Commissioners Cup final with all eyes in the WNBA on them and I think they’ll be out to make amends by bouncing back at home here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Las Vegas -7/5

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