Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics Prediction 5/16/25 WNBA Picks

The Atlanta Dream are visiting the Washington Mystics on Friday, May 16th at the CareFirst Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics Prediction. We will examine:

The Washington Mystics recent form and player performance

The Atlanta Dream recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Mystics

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Dream

Recent betting trends in games played between the Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics game

Washington Mystics Preview

The Washington Mystics finished last season with a 14-26 record, and finished in the 5th place of the Eastern Conference. They had a 5-15 home record, and were 25-14-1 against the spread, and 19-21 in over/under.

Washington averaged 79.3 points per game last season, while they allowed 82.3 points per game. Washington was shooting with 43.3% from the field, 36.5% from beyond the arc, and with 76.7 from the free-throw line, while grabbing 31.8 rebounds per game, which was the second-worst in the league.

Washington was 0-2 in the preseason, and are coming off an 80-70 home defeat by the Atlanta Dream. Ariel Atkins led the Mystics in scoring last season with 14.9 points per game, adding 3.4 rebounds and 3.1 assists. Brittney Sykes followed with 12.2 points per game, adding 4.1 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game.

Atlanta Dream Preview

The Atlanta Dream finished last season with a 15-27 record, and were placed 4th in the Western Conference. They made it to the playoffs, but got eliminated in the first round by the New York Liberty by 2-0 wins. The Dream had a 7-13 road record and were 22-18-2 against the spread, and 17-24-1 in over/under.

Atlanta averaged 77 points per game last season, which was last in the league, while they allowed 79.7 points per game. Atlanta was shooting with 40.8% from the field, 30.8% from beyond the arc, and with 77.1 from the free-throw line, while grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game.

Atlanta was 1-1 in the preseason, and are coming off an 81-76 home defeat by the Indiana Fever. Rhyne Howard led the Dream in scoring last season with 17.3 points per game, adding 4.4 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game. Alisha Gray followed with 15.6 points per game, adding 4.4 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game.

Why the Atlanta Dream will win

• The Dream have won five of their last seven games against the Mystics.
• The Dream have won each of their last three road games against the Mystics.
• The Dream have won each of their last three games against the Mystics at CareFirst Arena.
• The Dream have covered the spread in each of their last three road games against the Mystics.
• The Dream have won three of their last four road openers.
• The favorites have won six of the Dream’s last seven games at CareFirst Arena.
• The favorites have won each of the Mystics’ last 11 games at CareFirst Arena.
• The Mystics have lost each of their last 10 games as home underdogs.
• The road team has won each of the last five games between the Mystics and Dream.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Mystics and Dream.

Total Points Facts

• Six of the Dream’s last eight road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last six games between the Mystics and Dream have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last three games between the Mystics and Dream at CareFirst Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the last seven games between the Mystics and Dream at CareFirst Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics Prediction

The Dream are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Mystics, having won their last three visits in Washington. The Dream are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 meetings, and their last six meetings have all gone under the total.

In this Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics Prediction, the Dream are coming as -6 road favorites. Both teams had identical records last season, but the Dream were significantly improved in the postseason, but until I see more of them, I cannot trust them as big road favorites. In a small sample size in the preseason, both teams have the two of the three weakest offenses with 150 average points combined, while also being decent defensively, allowing 150 points per game combined. Add to the fact that all of their six previous meetings had gone under the total, I like the under here as well. Take the under 156.5 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 156.5