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Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction 5/23/25 Hamburg Tennis Picks

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ATP Hamburg Prediction: Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Flavio Cobolli

May 23, 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Tomas Martin Etcheverry / Flavio Cobolli

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Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Flavio Cobolli meet in the semifinal of the ATP Hamburg Open on Friday, May 23. Here’s our Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Flavio Cobolli prediction. This preview will also include a Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Flavio Cobolli pick.

 

Tomas Martin Etcheverry Preview

Tomas Martin Etcheverry earned a high-quality win over Jiri Lehecka in the Hamburg Open quarterfinals. The World No. 55 trailed by a break in the first set, but turned the score around to clinch the set 7-5 with two breaks of serve. In the second set, Etcheverry broke Lehecka twice and saved two late break points to seal a 7-5, 6-3 win in just under two hours.

Etcheverry finished the match with two aces and zero double faults. He landed 63% of first serves and won 65% of first serve points (26/40). Etcheverry won 67% of second serve points (16/24) and saved four of six breakpoints. The Argentine has not dropped a set this week, having beaten Francisco Comesana 7-6, 6-3 in the first round and Ugo Carabelli 6-4, 6-4 in the second round. Etcheverry is now 9-9 on clay this term. He also improved on his Hamburg record having lost the opening round in 2023. Etcheverry had not reached an ATP semifinal in 2025 before this week.

 

Flavio Cobolli Preview

Flavio Cobolli knocked former top 10 player Roberto Bautista Agut in straight sets to reach the Hamburg Open semifinals. Cobolli served for the first set at 5-4 up, but relinquished his break advantage. Eventually, the set went into a tie-break, and it was Cobolli who won it with three mini breaks.

The second set was dominated by Cobolli as Bautista Agut surprisingly ran out of steam. The Italian broke serve three times to wrap up a 7-6, 6-0 win in 85 minutes. Cobolli has lost one set and that came in the opening round where he came back to beat Vitaliy Sachko 5-7, 6-2, 6-2 and took out Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in straight sets in his next outing. Cobolli is an impressive 11-5 on clay this season, having memorably clinched his maiden ATP title in Bucharest last month. This will be his first Hamburg semifinal.

 

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Flavio Cobolli Head-To-Head

Etcheverry and Cobolli have met four times at all levels. The man from Argentina has a perfect 4-0 record, inlcuding two wins on clay courts at the Challenger Tour. Only one of those four meetings was decided in straight sets.

 

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

I’m giving a slight edge to Etcheverry here but the wise move should be the games or backing the over 2.5 sets in the match. I reckon we’ll get a long match here between two clay specialists. Cobolli now knows a thing or two about succeeding at this level and this surface having captured his first ATP title last month. But Etcheverry still has a higher ceiling on clay. He’s got the heavier forehand and is more disciplined with that shot. If it comes to close moments in the match, expect him to conjure some brilliance.

Nur Said's Pick: Tomas Martin Etcheverry in three sets

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