Jul 10, 2024; London, United Kingdom; Taylor Fritz of the United States returns a shot during his match against Lorenzo Musetti of Italy (not shown) on day 10 at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction 06/30/2025 Wimbledon Picks

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Wimbledon Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

June 30, 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Taylor Fritz -400 / Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard +275

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Fifth seed Taylor Fritz will face big-serving Frenchman Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the first round of the 2025 Wimbledon Championships on Monday, June 30. Here’s our Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard prediction. This preview will also include a Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard pick.

Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Preview
Taylor Fritz is the fifth seed at this year’s Wimbledon. The American is competing in his ninth Wimbledon main draw. Fritz has reached the quarterfinals twice, including last year when he lost to Lorenzo Musetti in five sets.

Fritz will arrive at Wimbledon as one of the tour’s most in-form players. He lifted two titles this swing from three warm-up tournaments. Fritz was the champion in Stuttgart, where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final. And he added a second ATP 250 in Eastbourne, beating Jenson Brooksby to the title.

Fritz is now a solid 8-1 on grass this season and is 25-11 overall. He has lost in the first round of Wimbledon twice in his career, but that was in the early years, almost a decade ago.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is unseeded at this year’s Championships. The Frenchman, known for his powerful serve, is making his second appearance to Wimbledon. Mpetshi Perricard reached the second week last season as a lucky loser. In fact, in the opening round, he defeated an American (Sebastian Korda).

Mpetshi Perricard is 1-2 on grass this season. He lost in the second round in Stuttgart to Felix Auger-Aliassime. And his most recent match was over 10 days ago at Queen’s, where he was beaten by Brandon Nakashima.

Mpetshi Perricard has lost the first round of tournaments six times this year, including in the first Grand Slam of 2025 at the Australian Open.

Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Head-To-Head
Fritz and Mpetshi Perricard have no history. This first round at Wimbledon will be their first meeting.

Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction
I worry for Fritz here. This is arguably one of the toughest first rounds for any seed. Mpetshi Perricard only has a handful of wins in Grand Slam tournaments, but he was very impressive when he competed on his debut at Wimbledon last year. His game is tailor-made for grass, with a serve that many players on tour would envy and movement that defies his height.

Fritz is unlikely to get plenty of chances to break the Mpetshi Perricard serve, and this could easily stretch to four or five sets. This could get uncomfortable for the fifth seed. That said, GMP winning at least two sets here is massive value.

Nur Said's Pick: Over 3.5 sets in the match

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