Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar Prediction 7/31/2026 Today’s Tennis Picks

Lorenzo Musetti faces Rafael Jodar in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Washington Open on Friday, July 31st. This will be their first meeting on the ATP Tour. Jodar is on the cusp of a Top 20 breakthrough, but must beat Musetti to confirm his spot in the Tour’s elite group. Here’s our Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar prediction. This preview will include a Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar pick.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar Preview

Lorenzo Musetti is coming off a hard-fought three-set win over Aleksandar Vukic in the round of 16 of the Washington Open. Musetti led by a set and a break, but allowed the Australian a route back into the match when he dropped his serve in the eighth game of the second set. The Italian quickly regained that level to dominate the third set with three breaks of serve.

In the victory, Musetti hit 8 aces and committed three double faults. Musetti landed 55% of first serves in play and won 77% of first serve points (36/47). Musetti won 51% of second serve points (20/39) and saved five of eight break points in the match. Before this round, Musetti beat Matteo Arnaldi (via retirement). This is Musetti’s first tournament since the Rome Masters.

Rafael Jodar easily beat Kei Nishikori in the last round to reach the quarterfinals of the Washington Open on debut. Jodar dropped just five games in a clinical straight sets win over Nishikori. The match lasted 70 minutes in Nishikori’s final appearance in the tournament. In the victory, Jodar hit 3 aces and committed 2 double faults. Jodar landed 51% of first serves in play and won 76% of first serve points (22/29). Jodar won 64% of second serve points (18/28) and saved all three break points he faced in the match. Before this round, Jodar earned an impressive straight sets win over Arthur Fils.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar Head-To-Head

Musetti and Jodar have never met, so this will be their first tour-level clash on the ATP Tour.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar Prediction

Musetti advanced to the last eight without any physical setbacks. That is a huge positive for the Italian, who was out of action since Rome. That said, Jodar has justified the hype as a future star, and he will all but seal a top 20 debut if he wins this match. Jodar is playing the best tennis of his young career, and he’s pulled off a statement victory earlier in the tournament (beating Fils). Musetti is steadily regaining his rhythm after injury, but he’s facing an opponent who is striking the ball with real authority. I’ll take the red-hot favorite to win this.

Nur Said's Pick: Jodar in straight sets