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Jack Draper vs Gael Monfils Prediction 5/29/25 French Open Tennis Picks

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French Open Prediction: Jack Draper vs Gael Monfils

May 29, 2025 at 02:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Jack Draper -500 / Gael Monfils +450

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Jack Draper and Gael Monfils meet in the second round of the 2025 French Open at Roland Garros. The match is scheduled for Thursday, May 29. Here’s our Jack Draper vs Gael Monfils prediction. This preview will also include a Jack Draper vs Gael Monfils pick.

 

Jack Draper Preview

Jack Draper is the 5th in the French Open, competing in his third main draw at the event. Draper lost in the first round in each of his previous two appearances but picked up his first win at Roland Garros this week. The British No. 1 rallied from a set down to beat Italy’s Mattia Bellucci in four sets. Draper dropped his serve twice in the first set and by the time he restored one of the breaks back, it was all in vain. Bellucci took his third set point to take a shock lead. In the second set, Draper regrouped and recovered. He broke Bellucci early on to take a 2-0 lead and broke him again to lead 5-1. He served to love to level the match at one-set all.

In the third set, one break of serve was all the difference and it was Draper who got it, and the World No. 5 completed his comeback with another clinical fourth set which he wrapped up 6-2. Draper hit 43 winners and 26 unforced errors during the win and that included 11 aces and seven double faults. He landed 68% of first serves in play and won 74% of first serve points (51/69). Draper won 59% of second serve points (19/32) and saved four of six breakpoints.

 

Gael Monfils Preview

Gael Monfils is ranked 42nd in the ATP rankings and is competing in his 18th French Open main draw. Monfils won his opening match this week against Bolivia’s Hugo Dellien to register his 40th victory at Roland Garros. Monfils trailed by two sets to love, but won the next three sets to prevail in the unlikeliest of circumstances. The match lasted three hours and 36 minutes. The Frenchman became the first player to attain 12 five-set match wins in this tournament in the Open Era.  

Monfils hit 58 winners and 50 unforced errors which included 21 aces and four double faults. He landed 61% of first serves in play and won 74% of first serve points (67/90). Monfils won 47% of second serve points (27/58) and saved 11 of 16 breakpoints. Monfils has not reached the third round of the French Open since 2019.

 

Jack Draper vs Gael Monfils Head-To-Head

Draper and Monfils have met once on tour. Draper led 6-2, 0-2 when they played in the 2022 Montreal Masters before Monfils retired from the match.

 

Jack Draper vs Gael Monfils Prediction

It’s a match befitting of the night session on Chatrier. We know Gael Monfils’ shotmaking ability. He’s an artist and a showman and he comes alive in a setting like this where the crowd is by his side and his 38-year-old legs get loose. He simply elevates these moments and many will recall his dramatic win over Sebastian Baez two years ago. But the bittersweet realism is that he’s likely to fall short. I think Draper will be a touch too good for La Monf. Draper will defuse all that energy that Monfils and the French crowd will throw at him. He’s one of those players who can seamlessly open up the court with just a couple of powerful shots. Monfils might nick a set to get the crowd roaring, but over five sets, it’s too much to ask from him to win.

 

Nur Said's Pick: Jack Draper in four sets

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