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Donna Vekic vs Hailey Baptiste Prediction 4/24/25 Madrid Tennis Picks

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WTA Madrid Prediction: Donna Vekic vs Hailey Baptiste

April 24, 2025 at 06:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Donna Vekic -125 / Hailey Baptiste +100

(Get latest betting odds)

Donna Vekic and Hailey Baptiste meet in the second round of the 2025 WTA Madrid Open on Thursday, April 24, 2025. Here’s our Donna Vekic vs Hailey Baptiste prediction. This preview will also include a Donna Vekic vs Hailey Baptiste pick.

 

Donna Vekic Preview

Donna Vekic is the 19th seed at the Madrid Open and received a bye in the first round. Vekic is making her sixth main draw appearance in the Spanish capital and only once has she reached the last 16. She has been knocked out in the second round in each of the last two editions of this tournament.

Vekic is ranked 21st in the WTA rankings, which is four spots below her career. Her form has been fluctuating all season. After starting the year with three straight defeats, Vekic tallied three wins at the Australian Open to reach the fourth round. Then she went on another losing streak, this time lasting four matches, before stunning Emma Navarro at Indian Wells on her run to the second week. Now, she is winless in three matches and got her clay-court campaign underway in Stuttgart this past week where she lost countrywoman Jana Fett in straight sets.

 

Hailey Baptiste Preview

Hailey Bapitste is unseeded in this tournament and won her first-round match at the Madrid Open. She upset Romania’s Sorana Cirstea in three sets in two and a half hours. The match took 33 games to decide. Baptiste prevailed 6-2, 5-7, 7-6 for her first-ever main draw win in the event. In the victory, Baptiste, who entered the tournament as a wild card, hit 44 winners and 39 unforced errors, including five aces and five double faults.

Baptiste landed 56% of first serves in play and won 70% of first serve points (38/54). The American won 60% of second serve points (25/42) and saved two of five breakpoints. Baptiste compiled 38% of return points (37/98) and broke Cirstea four times in the match. She improves to 12-8 for the season and will be chasing her fourth consecutive win.

 

Donna Vekic vs Hailey Baptiste Head-To-Head

Vekic and Baptiste will meet for the first time at the Madrid Open.

 

Donna Vekic vs Hailey Baptiste Prediction

While Vekic has the higher upside with her big ball striking, she enters this match in lackadaisical form with 10 losses already this season. Her confidence is leaking and she’s dropping too many sets for her liking. That pales in comparison to Baptiste, steadily rising in the rankings and winning consistently. Vekic starts as the favorite here at -125, only marginally, and the bookies are clearly factoring her recent losing streak. I’m rolling with the American to get a massive win that propels her into the third round.

Nur Said's Pick: Hailey Baptiste in three sets

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