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Casper Ruud vs Jakub Mensik Prediction Australian Open Tennis Picks 1/15/25

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Australian Open Prediction: Casper Ruud vs Jakub Mensik

January 15, 2025 at 04:00 AM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Casper Ruud -133 Jakub Mensik +118

(Get latest betting odds)

Casper Ruud and Jakub Mensik meet in the second round of the 2025 Australian Open on Wednesday, January 15, 2025. Here’s our Casper Ruud vs Jakub Mensik prediction. This preview also includes a Casper Ruud vs Jakub Mensik pick.

 

Casper Ruud Preview

 

Casper Ruud is coming off a five-set win over Jaume Munar of Spain in his opener. The match took 43 games to decide and lasted three hours and 24 minutes.

Ruud recorded 48 winners and 37 unforced errors, including seven aces and two double faults. He landed 67% of first serves and won 69% of first-serve points (57/83).

The Norwegian won 58% of second-serve points (23/40). Ruud held in 17 of 22 service games in the match and saved three of eight break points on his serve.

Ruud won 39% of return points (54/138) and converted five of 12 break points. This was the World No. 6’s third win of the season (beat Machac and Hurkacz at the United Cup).

Last year, Ruud reached the third round but has only made the second week in Melbourne only once in his career.

 

Jakub Mensik Preview

 

Czech teenager Jakub Mensik beat Georgian qualifier Nikoloz Basilashvili in four sets. The match took 38 games to decide and lasted two hours and 35 minutes.

Mensik prevailed 6-1, 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 for his first-ever win in Melbourne. He recorded 39 winners and 37 unforced errors of which 31 were aces and only eight double faults.

The 19-year-old landed 54% of first serves and won 82% of first-serve points (56/68) Mensik won 51% of second-serve points (29/57).

Mensik held 18 of 19 service games in the match and saved 11 of 12 break points on his serve. He won 41% of return points and converted six of 11 break points.

This is Mensik’s fifth win of the season (made back-to-back quarterfinals in Brisbane and Auckland).

 

Casper Ruud vs Jakub Mensik Head-To-Head

 

• Ruud and Mensik have never played each other before on the ATP Tour, so this will be their first meeting.

 

Casper Ruud vs Jakub Mensik Prediction

 

I’m going with the underdog here. I genuinely think Mensik has got a decent shot of winning this match. He’s made immense progress in the past year competing at Tour level and he’s ready for that next step in his development. Already he’s beaten some top names in his young career and is not fazed about playing against top 10 players as highlighted with his gustsy performance against Djokovic in Shanghai last year.

Ruud looked far from convincing against a clay-courter in his opening match and nearly made a melee of losing it in five sets. If Mensik finds his spots on serve, I can see him bullying the experienced Norwegian. The over 3.5 sets should hit, but value pick is Mensik winning money line.

Nur Said's Pick: Jakub Mensik in four sets

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