Novak Djokovic vs Alexander Zverev Prediction 1/24/25 Australian Open Tennis Picks

Novak Djokovic is coming off a four-set win over Carlos Alcaraz. The match took 39 games to decide and lasted three and a half hours.

In the victory, Djokovic hit 31 winners and 27 unforced errors. That included five aces and three double faults.

Djokovic landed 63% of first serves in play and won 63% of first serve points (54/86).

Djokovic won 58% of second serve points (29/50) and saved seven of 11 break points on his serve.

The Serbian won 42% of return points (52/125) and 65% of net points (22/34). He converted six of 13 break points on Alcaraz's serve.

Djokovic has now reached 50 Grand Slam semifinals in his career, a milestone that no player had achieved before.

Alexander Zverev Preview

Alexander Zverev, for his part, beat American Tommy Paul in four sets. The match took 41 games to decide and lasted three hours and 32 minutes.

Paul led by a break in the first two sets and served for both sets, and even had set points, but threw them away, and lost in two tie-breaks.

While Zverev conceded the third set he finished the match strongly, winning the fourth set 6-1.

In the victory, Zverev hit 27 winners and 36 unforced errors. That included seven aces and five double faults.

Zverev landed 69% of first serves and won 72% of first serve points (67/93).

The German won 52% of second serve points (22/42) and saved seven of 11 break points on serve.

Zverev won 39% of return points (46/118) and 73% of net points (24/33). He broke Paul four times in the match.

It's the second successive semifinal for Zverev at the Australian Open. He lost to Medvedev in five sets last season.

Novak Djokovic vs Alexander Zverev Head-To-Head

• Djokovic and Zverev have played 12 times on the ATP Tour.

• Djokovic leads Zverev 8-4 in the head-to-head.

• Djokovic won their last meeting at the 2023 Cincinnati Open in straight sets.

• Zverev last beat Djokovic at the 2021 ATP Finals.

Novak Djokovic vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

After his stunning four-set win over Alcaraz, it's not a surprise that Djokovic is favored to win this match at -161. Zverev is the underdog with odds of +130 on the money line. The oddsmakers are unperturbed by Djokovic's health concerns despite the Serbian looking visibly hampered by a hamstring injury and needing to take some painkillers in that quarterfinal win. Djokovic has been in this predicament before, needing to play through injury and won this tournament a few years ago. The numbers are also favoring Djokovic who is 10-1 in semifinal matches in Melbourne, his only loss coming 12 months ago against Sinner.

None of Zverev's four wins over Djokovic have been in a Grand Slam. Still, this could be Zverev's moment if he can pounce on Djokovic's injury fears and cover the total games.