USA vs Turkey Prediction 6/25/2026 Today’s Soccer Picks

In this article, we will formulate a USA vs Turkey Prediction for this World Cup Matchday 3 matchup on Thursday, June 25th at the SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, USA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this World Cup matchup.

Turkey Preview

Turkey has 0 points in the tournament, with two losses and issitting on the 4th place of Group D. They are coming off a 1-0 loss to Paraguay, where they had 79% possession of the ball and 32 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 89% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 2.17 compared to Paraguay’s 0.33.

Turkey is averaging 0.00 goals per game, while allowing 1.5 goals per game. They have a -1.5 goal differential, 1.36 average expected goals, 1.18 average expected goals conceded and +0.2 average expected goal differential. They have 75% possession of the ball and 50% save percentage, while having zero clean sheets.

USA Preview

USA has 6 points in the tournament, with two wins and is sitting on the 1st place of Group D. They are coming off a 2-0 win over Australia, where they had 62% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 85% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.08 compared to Australia’s 0.34.

USA is averaging 3 goals per game, while allowing 0.5 goals per game. They have a +2.5 goal differential, 1.25 average expected goals, 0.44 average expected goals conceded and +0.8 average expected goal differential. They have 64% possession of the ball and 75% save percentage, while having one clean sheet.

Folarin Balogun is USA’s top scorer with 2 goals. Auston Freeman, Malik Tillman, Christian Pulisic are USA’s top passers, with one assist each.

USA vs Turkey Prediction

Both teams are a perfectly balanced 2-2-1 in their five overall meetings and their last four meetings ended up with exactly 2-1 score.

In this USA vs Turkey Prediction, USA is coming as -110 favorites. USA has already been qualified for the next round, while Turkey has already been eliminated, but I don’t expect USA to slow down in this one. They have scored six total goals so far and have won by three and two goals and will look to put on a show in front of their home crowd. Turkey has looked terrible in the World Cup, having failed to score a single goal so far and are facing a USA defense that has an elite 0.44 average expected goals conceded. Take USA to win this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: USA ML