Australia vs Paraguay Prediction 6/25/2026 Today’s Soccer Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Australia vs Paraguay Prediction for this World Cup Matchday 3 matchup on Thursday, June 25th at the Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California, USA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this World Cup matchup.

Paraguay Preview

Paraguay has 3 points in the tournament, with one win and one loss and is sitting on the 3rd place of Group D. They are coming off a 1-0 win over Turkey, where they had 21% possession of the ball and 7 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 54% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.33 compared to Turkey 2.17.

Paraguay is averaging one goal per game, while allowing 2 goals per game. They have a -1.0 goal differential, 0.43 average expected goals, 1.79 average expected goals conceded and -1.4 average expected goal differential. They have 28% possession of the ball and 67% save percentage, while having one clean sheet.

Matías Galarza, Maurício are Paraguay’s top scorers with one goal each. Julio Enciso is Paraguay’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Australia Preview

Australia has 3 points in the tournament, with one win and one loss and is sitting on the 2nd place of Group D. They are coming off a 2-0 loss to United States, where they had 38% possession of the ball and 5 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 71% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.34 compared to United States’ 1.08.

Australia is averaging one goal per game, while allowing one goal per game. They have a +0.0 goal differential, 0.76 average expected goals, 1.22 average expected goals conceded and -0.5 average expected goal differential. They have 33% possession of the ball and 82% save percentage, while having one clean sheet.

Connor Metcalfe, Nestory Irankunda are Australia’s top scorers with 1 goal each. Paul Okon-Engstler is Australia’s top passer, with one assist.

Australia vs Paraguay Prediction

Australia has two wins and one draw in its three meetings against Paraguay, all of them in friendly matches.

In this Australia vs Paraguay Prediction, Paraguay is coming as +190 favorites. Both teams are tied in the second place of Group D with three points each and the winner will be qualified for the next round, so the stakes are very high for both teams. Both teams are coming off low-scoring games and the under is 3-1 in their four games of the tournament combined. They both struggle offensively, as they have just 1.19 average expected goals combined and with this game being of utmost importance, I expect a low-scoring grind. Take the under 2.5.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 2.5