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Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest 9/27/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

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Nottingham Forest 1-2-2 – Sunderland 2-1-2

September 27, 2025 at 12:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Nottingham Forest -125 / Sunderland +360 — Over/Under: 2.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Prediction for this English Premier League Week 6 matchup on Saturday, September 27th, at the City Ground Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Nottingham Forest Preview

Nottingham Forest has 5 points this season, with a 1-2-2 record, and are sitting on the 15th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-1-0 home record and a 0-1-2 away record. Nottingham Forest is coming off a 1-1 draw at Burnley, where they had 63% possession of the ball and 17 total shots, 8 of them on target. They had 90% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.09 compared to Burnley’s 0.85.

Nottingham Forest is scoring 1.00 goals per game, which ranks 14th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.80 goals per game, which is 17th. Chris Wood is Nottingham Forest’s top scorer with 2 goals, followed by Neco Williams, Callum Hudson-Odoi and Dan Ndoye with 1 goal apiece. Dan Ndoye, Elliot Anderson and Morgan Gibbs-White are Nottingham Forest’s top passers, with 1 assist each.

Sunderland Preview

Sunderland has 8 points this season, with a 2-1-2 record, and are sitting on the 7th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-0-1 home record and a 0-1-1 away record. Sunderland is coming off a 1-1 home draw against Aston Villa, where they had 29% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 69% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.04 compared to Aston Villa’s 0.79.

Sunderland is scoring 1.20 goals per game, which ranks 8th in the Premier League, while allowing 0.80 goals per game, which is 5th. Wilson Isidor is Sunderland’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Daniel Ballard, Eliezer Mayenda Dossou and Enzo Le Fée with 1 goal apiece. Granit Xhaka is Sunderland’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Why Nottingham Forest will win

·        Nottingham has won five of its last six EPL Saturday home matches.

·        Nottingham has won four of its last five EPL Saturday matches against promoted teams.

·        Nottingham has won six of its last nine EPL matches following a league draw.

·        Sunderland has lost six of its last seven EPL night matches.

·        Sunderland has lost 12 of its last 15 EPL away matches.

Why Sunderland will win


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·        Sunderland has won each of its last three league night matches following a league draw.

·        Nottingham has lost four of its last six EPL home matches.

·        Nottingham has lost three of its last four EPL Saturday matches.

·        The underdog has won eight of Sunderland’s last 11 league matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Nottingham’s last five EPL matches as a favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Nottingham’s last three EPL matches as a home favorite.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 11 of Sunderland’s last 14 EPL night matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Sunderland’s last four EPL matches.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in three of Nottingham’s last four EPL home matches.

Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Sunderland is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against Nottingham Forest, and under 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Nottingham Forest is coming as -125 home favorites. Nottingham Forest has been winless in their last six games this season, having won only in the season opener against Brentford. On the flip side, Sunderland has been undefeated in their last three games, and have a great history against Forest in recent years. Forest is also coming off a mid-week game for the Europa League, so I expect the guests to keep this one close. Take Sunderland by +0.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Sunderland by +0.5

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