New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC 3/29/25 Prediction MLS Picks

New York City FC will visit Atlanta United FC on Saturday, March 29, 2025, at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction. We will examine:

Atlanta United FC recent form and player performance

New York City FC recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta United FC

Recent betting trends and streaks involving New York City FC

Recent betting trends in games played between the New York City FC and Atlanta United FC

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC game

Atlanta United FC Preview

Atlanta United FC has 5 points this season and is sitting on the 12th place of the Eastern Conference. Atlanta United has a 1-2-2 record this season and have a 1-1-1 home record. Atlanta United is coming off a 2-2 road draw against Cincinnati. They have two losses and two draws after winning their season opener and have back-to-back games that they went over the total. 

Atlanta United is averaging 1.20 goals per game, which is tied for 8th in the East, while allowing 1.60 goals per game, which is tied for 9th in the conference. Emmanuel Latte Lath is the top scorer for Atlanta United this season with 4 total goals, which is also tied for the third-best in the MLS.

New York City FC Preview

New York City FC has 8 points this season and are tied with the New York Red Bulls on the 7th place of the Eastern Conference. New York City has a 2-1-2 record this season and have a 0-1-2 road record. New York City is coming off a 0-0 road draw against Colombus Crew. Over is 3-2 in their 5 games this season.

New York City is averaging 1.20 goals per game, which is tied for 8th in the East, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is tied for 6th in the conference. Adrian Alonso Martínez Batista is the top scorer for New York City this season with 3 total goals.

Why Atlanta United FC will win

• New York City FC has lost four of its last five MLS games following a draw.
• The home team has won three of New York City FC’s last four MLS games.

Why New York City FC will win

• Each of the last four MLS games between Atlanta United FC and New York City FC have resulted in a draw.
• Five of the last six MLS games between Atlanta United FC and New York City FC have resulted in a draw.
• Four of the last five MLS night games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium between Atlanta United FC and New York City FC have resulted in a draw.
• Three of New York City FC’s last four MLS away games have resulted in a draw.
• Atlanta United FC has lost three of its last four MLS games as a favorite following a draw.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Atlanta United FC’s last eight MLS games as a favorite against New York City FC. The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 12 of Atlanta United FC’s last 13 MLS night games.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 13 of Atlanta United FC’s last 16 MLS games.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of Atlanta United FC’s last 10 MLS night games.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Atlanta United FC’s last eight MLS home games against New York City FC.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 13 of Atlanta United FC’s last 15 MLS games as a home favorite.

New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Both of their meetings last season ended in draws by 2-2 and 1-1. Six out of their last 8 overall meetings have ended in a draw, and three of their last four meetings in Atlanta also ended in a draw. Both teams to score – Yes is a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 overall meetings.

In this New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction, Atlanta United FC is coming as -110 home favorites. This line feels wrong, as the favorited Atlanta United have less points than New York City so far this season, and have been shaky at home and also have conceded more goals. Atlanta has also not won a single game after winning their opening game of the season, and most of the recent meetings between those two teams have ended in a draw. I like the value of the road team to not lose in this game, so take the New York City FC with an Asian Handicap of +0.5 in this matchup.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: New York City FC +0.5