Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction 6/29/2026 Today’s Soccer Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction for this World Cup Round of 32 matchup on Monday, June 29th at the Estadio BBVA in Guadalupe, Mexico. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this World Cup matchup.

Morocco Preview

Morocco finished the group phase of the World Cup with 7 points, with two wins and one draw and were placed 2nd in Group C. They are coming off a 4-2 win over Haiti, where they had 69% possession of the ball and 22 total shots, 11 of them on target. They had 88% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 3.76 compared to Haiti’s 1.22.

Morocco is averaging 2 goals per game, while allowing one goal per game. They have a +1.0 goal differential, 2.47 average expected goals, 0.78 average expected goals conceded and +1.7 average expected goal differential. They have 61% possession of the ball and 62% save percentage, while having one clean sheet.

Ismael Saibari is Morocco’s top scorer with 3 goals. Brahim Díaz is Morocco’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Netherlands Preview

Netherlands finished the group phase of the World Cup with 7 points, with two wins and one draw and were placed 1st in Group F. They are coming off a 3-1 win over Tunisia, where they had 71% possession of the ball and 20 total shots, 7 of them on target. They had 93% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.84 compared to Tunisia’s 0.62.

Netherlands is averaging 3.33 goals per game, while allowing 1.33 goals per game. They have a +2.0 goal differential, 1.77 average expected goals, 0.71 average expected goals conceded and +1.1 average expected goal differential. They have 63% possession of the ball and 73% save percentage, while having zero clean sheets.

Brian Brobbey is Netherlands’ top scorer with 3 goals. Denzel Dumfries, Ryan Gravenberch are Netherlands’ top passers, with 2 assists each.

Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction

The Netherlands have won two of their three meetings against Morocco, but only one of them was not a friendly game back in the 1994 World Cup, where the Netherlands won 2-1.

In this Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction, Netherlands is coming as +110 favorites. Both teams went through the group state of the World Cup undefeated with exactly 7 points each and both have won their last two games. I expect this to be a close game and maybe a draw is at hand, as Morocco managed to pull a draw against Brazil as well and have a very solid defense, conceding just one goal per game. They also have more average expected goals per game than the Netherlands, with 2.47 to 1.77, so I like them to keep this one close. Take Morocco by +0.5 goals.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Morocco +0.5