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Montreal Impact vs Houston Dynamo 6/14/25 Prediction MLS Picks

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Montreal Impact (1-11-5) vs Houston Dynamo (5-7-5)

June 14, 2025 at 08:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Houston Dynamo -140 / Montreal Impact +350 — Over/Under: 2.5

(Get latest betting odds)

Montreal Impact will visit the Houston Dynamo on Saturday, June 14th, 2025, at the Shell Energy Stadium in this Week 18 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Montreal Impact vs Houston Dynamo Prediction. We will examine:

Houston Dynamo recent form and player performance

Montreal Impact recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Houston Dynamo

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Montreal Impact

Recent betting trends in games played between the Montreal Impact and Houston Dynamo

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Montreal Impact vs Houston Dynamo game

Houston Dynamo Preview

Houston has 20 points this season and are sitting on the 10th place of the Western Conference. Houston has a 5-7-5 record this season and are 3-5-1 at home. Houston is coming off a 1-3 home defeat by Sporting Kansas City, and have only one win in their last four games. Over is 6-2 in their 8 games. 

Houston is averaging 1.24 goals per game, which is 9th in the league, while allowing 1.47 goals per game, which is tied for 9th in the conference. Ezequiel Ponce leads Houston’s offense this season with 4 total goals.

Montreal Impact Preview

Montreal has just 8 points this season and are sitting in the last place of the Eastern Conference. Montreal has a 1-11-5 record and has a 1-7-2 road record. Montreal is coming off a 0-3 home defeat by New England, and have one draw and four losses in their last five games. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Montreal is averaging 0.71 goals per game, which is last in the East, while allowing 1.88 goals per game, which is also the third-worst in the conference. Prince-Osei Owusu leads Montreal’s offense this season with 4 total goals.

Why Houston Dynamo will win

  • Houston has won seven of its last eight MLS home games against Montreal.
  • Houston has won seven of its last eight MLS games as a favorite against Montreal.
  • The favorite has won seven of Montreal’s last eight MLS games at Shell Energy Stadium.
  • The home team has won 13 of the last 15 MLS games between Houston and Montreal.
  • Montreal has lost three of its last four MLS games.

Why Montreal Impact will win

  • The underdog has won three of Houston’s last four MLS games.
  • The away team has won three of Houston’s last four MLS games.
  • Montreal has won three of its last four MLS night games against Houston.

Total Points Facts

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in four of Montreal’s last five MLS games.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in four of the last five MLS games between Houston and Montreal at Shell Energy Stadium.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in four of Houston’s last five MLS games as a favorite against Montreal.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Houston’s last five MLS home games against Montreal.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Montreal’s last four MLS games.

Montreal Impact vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Both teams are a perfectly balanced 5-5-1 in their last 11 overall meetings, but Houston is a dominating 7-1-2 in their 10 home meetings against Montreal. Both teams to score – Yes is 4-1 in their last 5 overall meetings, and the over has hit in their last five meetings in Houston.

In this Montreal Impact vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, Houston is coming as -145 home favorites. Houston is rightfully favored, as Montreal is the worst team in the East and second to last in the whole MLS, but this is still a big number, considering Houston’s recent form. Houston has only three wins in their nine home games this season, and have been struggling lately, having won only once in their last four games. I don’t trust Montreal to keep this one close, so it’s a pass on the side.

Both teams have been involved in some higher-scoring games lately, going for 10-3 to the over in their last 13 games combined, that is because they are both bottom-10 in their conference defensively, allowing 3.35 goals combined. All of their last 5 meetings in Houston have gone over the total, and I expect more of the same today. Take the over 2.5 goals.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 2.5

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