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Houston Dynamo vs New York City FC 5/28/25 Prediction MLS Picks

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Houston Dynamo (4-6-5) vs New York City FC (7-5-3)

May 28, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York City FC -110 / Houston Dynamo +275 — Over/Under: 2.5

(Get latest betting odds)

Houston Dynamo will visit New York City FC on Wednesday, May 28th, 2025, at the Yankee Stadium in this Week 16 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Dynamo vs New York City FC Prediction. We will examine:

New York City FC recent form and player performance

Houston Dynamo recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving New York City FC

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Houston Dynamo

Recent betting trends in games played between the Houston Dynamo and New York City FC

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Houston Dynamo vs New York City FC game

New York City FC Preview

New York City FC has 24 points this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the Eastern Conference. New York City has a 7-5-3 record this season and a 6-2 home record. New York City is coming off a 3-1 home victory over Chicago Fire, and have back-to-back wins. Under is 6-1 in their 7 games.

New York City is averaging 1.20 goals per game, which is tied for 10th in the East, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is the second-best in the conference. Adrian Alonso Martínez Batista is the top scorer for New York City this season with 8 total goals.

Houston Dynamo Preview

Houston has 17 points this season and are sitting on the 10th place of the Western Conference. Houston has a 4-6-5 record this season and are 1-2-4 on the road. Houston is coming off a 3-3 road draw against the San Jose Earthquakes. Over is 4-2 in their 6 games. 

Houston is averaging 1.20 goals per game, which is 9th in the West, while allowing 1.47 goals per game, which is tied for 9th in the West. Ezequiel Ponce leads Houston’s offense this season with 4 total goals.

Why New York City FC will win

  • New York City FC has won four of its last five MLS home games.
  • New York City FC has won six of its last seven MLS home games following a win.
  • New York City FC has won four of its last six MLS games.
  • The home team has won each of the last three MLS games between New York City FC and Houston.
  • The favorite has won four of Houston’s last six MLS games.

Why Houston Dynamo will win

  • Houston has won three of its last four MLS away games following a draw.

Total Points Facts

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in seven of New York City FC’s last eight MLS games.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in four of New York City FC’s last five MLS home games.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in nine of Houston’s last 12 MLS away games.
  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of New York City FC’s last eight MLS games.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in nine of New York City FC’s last 11 MLS games at Yankee Stadium.

Houston Dynamo vs New York City FC Prediction

Houston Dynamo is 3-1-1 in their last 5 overall meetings against New York City, and both teams are a balanced 1-1-2 in their four meetings in New York. Both teams to score – Yes is 6-2 in their 8 meetings and 4-0 in their 4 meetings in New York.

In this Houston Dynamo vs New York City FC Prediction, New York City is coming as -110 home favorites. New York City is rightfully favored, as they have more points this season, and have been very strong at home. New York City has been excellent defensively lately, as they have conceded just 3 goals in their last seven games. They are going up against a struggling Houston offense, so I am looking for another clean sheet and an easy home victory. Take the New York City FC on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: New York City FC ML

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