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FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati 5/28/25 Prediction MLS Picks

Pick details

FC Dallas (4-6-4) vs FC Cincinnati (9-4-2)

May 28, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: FC Cincinnati -165 / FC Dallas +360 — Over/Under: 2.75

(Get latest betting odds)

FC Dallas will visit FC Cincinnati on Wednesday, May 28th, 2025, at the TQL Stadium in this Week 16 Major League Soccer matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati Prediction. We will examine:

FC Cincinnati recent form and player performance

FC Dallas recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving FC Cincinnati

Recent betting trends and streaks involving FC Dallas

Recent betting trends in games played between the FC Dallas and FC Cincinnati

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati game

FC Cincinnati Preview

Cincinnati has 29 points this season and is sitting on the second place of the Eastern Conference. Cincinnati has a 9-4-2 record this season, and are 5-0-1 at home. Cincinnati is coming off a 2-4 road defeat by Atlanta United, which ended their previous three-game undefeated streak. They are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games, and are 3-1 to the over in their last 4 home games.

Cincinnati is averaging 1.40 goals per game, which is 9th in the East, while allowing 1.27 goals per game, which is 8th in the conference. Ahoueke Denkey is the top scorer for Cincinnati this season with 8 total goals.

FC Dallas Preview

Dallas has 16 points this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the Western Conference. Dallas has a 4-6-4 record this season and are 3-2-3 on the road. Dallas is coming off a 0-1 road defeat by Seattle, and have three consecutive losses. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games.   

Dallas is averaging 1.07 goals per game, which is the tied for 11th in the West, while allowing 1.64 goals per game, which is the 4th-worst in the conference. Luciano Acosta, Anderson Julio and Petar Musa lead Dallas’ offense this season with three goals apiece.

Why FC Cincinnati will win


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  • Cincinnati has won five of its last six MLS home games.
  • Cincinnati has won seven of its last 10 MLS games.
  • Cincinnati has won three of its last four MLS games as a favorite.
  • The home team has won four of Cincinnati’s last six MLS games.
  • FC Dallas has lost three of its last four MLS games.
  • The favorite has won five of Cincinnati’s last six MLS games at TQL Stadium.

Total Points Facts

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in four of FC Dallas’ last five MLS games as an underdog.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in four of Cincinnati’s last five MLS games as a favorite.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in three of Cincinnati’s last four MLS games.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Cincinnati’s last five MLS games as a favorite.
  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of FC Dallas’ last eight MLS games.

FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati Prediction

Both teams are tied 1-1 wins in their only two previous meetings, with both games being played in Dallas. Cincinnati won by 0-1 last season, while Dallas won 3-1 back in 2019.

In this FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, Cincinnati is coming as -165 home favorites. vs Cincinnati is rightfully favored, as they have far more points this season, and have been almost perfect at home. Cincinnati has been in excellent form lately, while Dallas is struggling this season, being a bottom-5 team both offensively and defensively in the West. Cincinnati has been one of the best home teams in the MLS this season, and have four wins in their last five home games. I cannot see Dallas making this game competitive, so I like the value with the hosts in this one. Take FC Cincinnati on the moneyline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: FC Cincinnati ML


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