Brighton vs Chelsea 9/27/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction for this English Premier League Week 6 matchup on Saturday, September 27th, at the Stamford Bridge Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Chelsea Preview

Chelsea has 8 points this season, with a 2-2-1 record, and are sitting on the 6th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-0-1 home record and a 1-2-0 away record. Chelsea is coming off a 1-2 road defeat at Manchester United, where they had 59% possession of the ball and 5 total shots, 1 of them on target. They had 85% completed passes, and less expected goals, with 0.42 compared to Manchester United’s 1.84.

Chelsea is scoring 2.00 goals per game, which ranks 2nd in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 5th. Enzo Fernández, João Pedro, Trevoh Chalobah and Moisés Caicedo are Chelsea’s top scorers with 2 goals each, followed by Pedro Neto and Cole Palmer with 1 goal apiece. João Pedro is Chelsea’s top passer, with 3 assists.

Brighton Preview

Brighton has 5 points this season, with a 1-2-2 record, and are sitting on the 14th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-0-2 home record and a 0-2-0 away record. Brighton is coming off a 2-2 home draw against Tottenham, where they had 36% possession of the ball and 12 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 77% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.32 compared to Tottenham’s 1.22.

Brighton is scoring 1.20 goals per game, which ranks 6th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.60 goals per game, which is 12th. Jan Paul van Hecke, Yankuba Minteh, Kaoru Mitoma, Yasin Ayari, Matthew O’Riley, Brajan Gruda and James Milner are Brighton’s top scorers with 1 goal each. Yankuba Minteh, Kaoru Mitoma and Georginio Rutter are Brighton’s top passers, with 1 assist each.

Why Chelsea will win

·        Chelsea has won nine of its last 10 EPL home matches following a league loss.

·        Chelsea has won each of its last five EPL home matches following a league loss.

·        Chelsea has won nine of its last 11 EPL home matches.

·        Chelsea has won three of its last four EPL matches against Brighton.

·        Brighton has lost four of its last six EPL away matches.

·        Brighton has lost five of its last six EPL day matches following a league draw.

·        Brighton has lost three of its last four EPL Saturday away matches.

·        The home team has won three of Brighton’s last four EPL matches.

·        The home team has won 15 of Chelsea’s last 22 EPL matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last six EPL matches between Chelsea and Brighton.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Brighton’s last nine EPL matches as an away underdog.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Brighton’s last eight EPL matches as an underdog.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 16 of Brighton’s last 20 EPL matches.

Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction

Both teams were tied 1-1 wins last season, with each team winning at home. Chelsea is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against Brighton, and over is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction, Chelsea is coming as -125 home favorites. Chelsea has been by far the better team this season, as they are a top-5 team both offensively, and defensively, winning by an average of one goal. On the flip side, Brighton has a minus goal differential, losing by an average of 0.4 goals this season. Chelsea has been dominating Brighton in recent years, and I expect them to keep doing so again today with a home victory.