Brazil vs Japan Prediction 6/29/2026 Today’s Soccer Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Brazil vs Japan Prediction for this World Cup Round of 32 matchup on Monday, June 29th at the NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas, USA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this World Cup matchup.

Japan Preview

Japan finished the group phase of the World Cup with 5 points, with one win and two draws and were placed 2nd in Group F. They are coming off a 1-1 draw with Sweden, where they had 52% possession of the ball and 8 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 85% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.21 compared to Sweden’s 0.64.

Japan is averaging 2.33 goals per game, while allowing one goal per game. They have a +1.3 goal differential, 1.28 average expected goals, 0.53 average expected goals conceded and +0.8 average expected goal differential. They have 52% possession of the ball and 73% save percentage, while having one clean sheet.

Daichi Kamada, Ayase Ueda are Japan’s top scorers with 2 goals each. Keito Nakamura, Ayase Ueda, Ritsu Doan are Japan’s top passers, with one assist each.

Brazil Preview

Brazil finished the group phase of the World cup with 7 points, with two wins and one draw and were placed 1st in Group C. They are coming off a 3-0 win over Scotland, where they had 54% possession of the ball and 21 total shots, 9 of them on target. They had 93% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 4.34 compared to Scotland’s 1.05.

Brazil is averaging 2.33 goals per game, while allowing 0.33 goals per game. They have a +2.0 goal differential, 2.92 average expected goals, 0.92 average expected goals conceded and +2.0 average expected goal differential. They have 54% possession of the ball and 91% save percentage, while having 2 clean sheets.

Vinícius Júnior is Brazil’s top scorer with 4 goals. Bruno Guimarães is Brazil’s top passer, with 3 assists.

Abbosbek Fayzullaev is Uzbekistan’s top scorer with one goal.

Brazil vs Japan Prediction

In their previous meeting last year in a friendly game, Japan won 3-2 but Brazil have won their six meetings before that.

In this Brazil vs Japan Prediction, Congo is coming as +105 favorites. I would like to find a way to back Japan here, but I think this match can go either way and Brazil are small favorites, so it’s tough to fade them. Both teams have excellent offenses in the World Cup, averaging 4.6 goals combined and they are 4-2 to the over in their 6 World Cup games combined. Brazil has almost 3 average expected goals per game and with the total set at 2.5 goals, I will gladly go over that number.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 2.5